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Tallinn Piraaja vs Legion II

Estonia Estonia

Estonian Cup 2019/2020
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Tallinn Piraaja play Legion II in the Estonian Cup 2019/2020. It looks like a close match. Recently, Tallinn Piraaja averaged 2.04 goals scored and 2.44 conceded. Legion II averaged 1.92 goals scored and 3.83 conceded. In past meetings, Tallinn Piraaja won 0, Legion II won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jun 21, 2019 ended 1:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.69 for Tallinn Piraaja and 2.56 for Legion II. This points to a Legion II double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Tallinn Piraaja
15%
Draws
43%
Legion II
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Legion II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / Medium Confidence
  • Tallinn Piraaja picked up more points recently compared to Legion II.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.69 vs 2.56 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 83%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 89%
Over 2.5 Goals 83%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 50%
Tallinn Piraaja Clean Sheet 10%
Legion II Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 80%
Second Half Goal 85%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tallinn Piraaja Legion II
Matches Played 25 12
Wins 9 3
Draws 0 2
Losses 16 7
Goals Scored 2.04 1.92
Goals Conceded 2.44 3.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.88 3.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 21, 2019 Estonian Cup
Tallinn Piraaja vs Legion II
1:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tallinn Piraaja 40 / 100
Legion II 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tallinn Piraaja Legion II

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Legion II or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +23.5%
2.94
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +7.9%
1.30
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Tallinn Piraaja attacking → ← attacking Legion II

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tallinn Piraaja scored in 65% of their last 23 games.

Legion II let in goals in 92% of their last 12 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Tallinn Piraaja went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Legion II lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

27 Points in last 5 11
1.88 Goals expected (xG) 2.25
2.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 3.50