Sport Picks
Tallinna FC Zapoos vs Tallinna Kalev
Estonia
Estonian Cup 2023/2024 
Match Events
8'
8'
Kiivit A.
16'
16'
Volma V.
Own Goal
19'
19'
Karlson O.
AI Match Summary
Tallinna Kalev in this Estonian Cup 2023/2024 tie, finishing 1-4. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
4%
6%
90%
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Tallinna Kalev
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
95%
/ Very High Confidence
- Tallinna Kalev have won more games recently than Tallinna FC Zapoos.
- Model gives Tallinna Kalev a 90% chance of winning this.
- Tallinna Kalev arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Tallinna Kalev, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 83%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 83%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Tallinna FC Zapoos Clean Sheet 10%
Tallinna Kalev Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Tallinna FC Zapoos | Tallinna Kalev |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 18 | 33 |
| Wins | 8 | 16 |
| Draws | 0 | 4 |
| Losses | 10 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1 | 2.13 |
| Goals Conceded | 4 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 2.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 4.00 | 1.75 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 23, 2023 Estonian Cup
Tallinna FC Zapoos vs Tallinna Kalev
1:4
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Tallinna FC Zapoos Compare
Top Goalscorer Karlson O.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5
Tallinna Kalev Compare
Top Goalscorer Kiivit A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Smirnov R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Tallinna FC Zapoos 10 / 100
Tallinna Kalev 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Tallinna FC Zapoos Tallinna Kalev
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick TAL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Tallinna FC Zapoos's goal record stands at 89% scoring rate across 18 recent games.
Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.
Defensive concern: Tallinna Kalev conceded in 79% of 33 recent games.
Solid form: Tallinna FC Zapoos remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Tallinna FC Zapoos VS Tallinna Kalev
1 Goals Scored 2.13
4 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 63%
100% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Tallinna FC Zapoos
(Home) 28 Jul
FC Tallinn
4 : 1 Tallinna FC Zapoos
29 Oct
Tallinna FC Zapoos
2 : 4 Parnu JK Vaprus
03 Sept
Tallinna FC Zapoos
3 : 0 Saku Sporting
06 Aug
Tallinna FC Zapoos
7 : 0 FC Hell Hunt
04 Mar
Levadia
7 : 0 Tallinna FC Zapoos
Page 1 of 4
29 Oct
Tallinna FC Zapoos
2 : 4 Parnu JK Vaprus
03 Sept
Tallinna FC Zapoos
3 : 0 Saku Sporting
06 Aug
Tallinna FC Zapoos
7 : 0 FC Hell Hunt
06 Jul
Tallinna FC Zapoos
4 : 3 Sillamae Silmet
23 Aug
Tallinna FC Zapoos
1 : 4 Tallinna Kalev
Page 1 of 2
Tallinna Kalev
(Away) 23 Jul
Tammeka Tartu U19
0 : 8 Tallinna Kalev
18 Jul
Tallinna Kalev
3 : 1 Nomme Utd U21
11 Jul
Levadia U21
3 : 2 Tallinna Kalev
03 Jul
Tallinna Kalev
3 : 3 Maardu Linnameeskond
21 Jun
Tallinna Kalev
5 : 1 Kalju U21
Page 1 of 7
23 Jul
Tammeka Tartu U19
0 : 8 Tallinna Kalev
11 Jul
Levadia U21
3 : 2 Tallinna Kalev
18 Jun
Nomme Utd U21
1 : 2 Tallinna Kalev
14 Jun
Flora Tallinn U21
3 : 1 Tallinna Kalev
24 May
Elva
3 : 1 Tallinna Kalev
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
Tartu JK Welco 2-
TBD-
Tartu Kalev9
FC Sssolutions0
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Levadia-
Tallinna Kalev III0
Legion10
TBD-
Johvi Phoenix-
Tammeka Tartu-
TBD-
TBD-
Imavere Forss-
Flora-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Parnu JK Vaprus-
TBD-
TBD-
FC Alliance-
Elva-
TBD-
TBD-
Saue JK Laagri-
Tervis Parnu-
TBD-
TBD-
FCP Parnu-
Maksatransport-
TBD-
TBD-
Loo JK-
Raplamaa-
TBD-
TBD-
Laanemaa Haapsalu-
Valga Warrior-
TBD-
TBD-
JK Poseidon-
Arukula Vigri-
TBD-
TBD-
Flora IV-
Maardu Aliens-
TBD-
TBD-
FC Tallinn-
Kristiine2
Kohvile3
Viimsi JK4
Paide Linnameeskond III0
Narva-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Pohja-Tallinna2
Rumori Calcio4
Zenit Tallinn3
Hiiumaa1
Tallinna Gorillad-
TBD-
TBD-
Tabasalu-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Paide Linnameeskond-
Helm-
TBD-
TBD-
Parnu-
Saku Sporting-
TBD-
TBD-
Tallinna Kalev U21-
Jogeva Wolves0
Kuressaare8
TBD-
Jarva-Jaani-
Sillamae Silmet-
TBD-
TBD-
Kose-
Flora Tallinn U21-
TBD-
Keila JK11
JK Jalgpallihaigla0
Legion II-
TBD-
TBD-
Soccernet-
Kalju-
TBD-
Tabasalu Ulasabat4
Flora U190
TransferWise1
Tallinna Wolves0
TBD-
Tulevik-
Rumori Calcio II-
TBD-
TBD-
Olympic Tallinn-
Harju JK Laagri-
TBD-
TBD-
Pelgu City-
Tallinna FC Zapoos-
TBD-
TBD-
Vandra Vaprus-
Tartu JK Welco-
TBD-
Tallinna Kalev20
Vana Hea Puur0
Drakon0
Nomme Utd12
TBD-
Tallinn Piraaja-
Eston Villa-
TBD-
TBD-
Marjamaa Kompanii-
1/32-finals
Tartu JK Welco 22
Tartu Kalev3
TBD-
Levadia-
Legion3
Johvi Phoenix0
Tammeka Tartu-
Imavere Forss-
Flora-
TBD-
Parnu JK Vaprus6
FC Alliance1
Elva1
Saue JK Laagri0
Tervis Parnu8
FCP Parnu3
Maksatransport5
Loo JK1
Raplamaa1
Laanemaa Haapsalu5
Valga Warrior1
JK Poseidon6
Arukula Vigri3
Flora IV2
Maardu Aliens-
FC Tallinn-
Kohvile0
Viimsi JK3
Narva-
TBD-
Rumori Calcio3
Zenit Tallinn8
Tallinna Gorillad0
Tabasalu16
TBD-
Paide Linnameeskond-
Helm2
Parnu0
Saku Sporting2
Tallinna Kalev U213
Kuressaare-
Jarva-Jaani-
Sillamae Silmet0
Kose4
Flora Tallinn U212
Keila JK0
Legion II3
Soccernet1
Kalju4
Tabasalu Ulasabat0
TransferWise0
Tulevik3
Rumori Calcio II0
Olympic Tallinn3
Harju JK Laagri12
Pelgu City0
Tallinna FC Zapoos6
Vandra Vaprus0
Tartu JK Welco0
Tallinna Kalev4
Nomme Utd4
Tallinn Piraaja0
Eston Villa3
Marjamaa Kompanii0
1/16-finals
Tartu Kalev2
Levadia6
Legion1
Tammeka Tartu3
Flora1
Parnu JK Vaprus0
Elva5
Tervis Parnu2
Maksatransport0
Laanemaa Haapsalu3
JK Poseidon2
Arukula Vigri3
FC Tallinn1
Viimsi JK2
Narva5
Zenit Tallinn0
Tabasalu1
Paide Linnameeskond3
Helm3
Tallinna Kalev U217
Kuressaare9
Kose1
Flora Tallinn U2113
Legion II0
Kalju5
Tulevik1
Olympic Tallinn0
Harju JK Laagri8
Tallinna FC Zapoos1
Tallinna Kalev4
Nomme Utd11
Eston Villa1
1/8-finals
Levadia4
Tammeka Tartu2
Flora10
Elva0
Laanemaa Haapsalu9
Arukula Vigri1
Viimsi JK1
Narva0
Paide Linnameeskond4
Tallinna Kalev U210
Kuressaare4
Flora Tallinn U212
Kalju3
Harju JK Laagri1
Tallinna Kalev3
Nomme Utd1
Quarter-finals
Levadia2
Flora1
Laanemaa Haapsalu0
Viimsi JK3
Paide Linnameeskond2
Kuressaare0
Kalju2
Tallinna Kalev1
Semi-finals
Levadia1
Viimsi JK0
Paide Linnameeskond3
Kalju1
Final
Levadia4
Paide Linnameeskond2
