Sport Picks
Tallinna Kalev vs Flora Tallinn U21 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Estonia
Esiliiga Kadrioru Staadion, Tallinn 
Match Events
18'
18'
De Pizzol O.
(Penalty)
51'
51'
Maasik E.
Assist: Neltsas R.
74'
74'
Ilves R.
Assist: Petrunin D.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Esiliiga matchup, with the score ending 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
29%
30%
41%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Flora Tallinn U21
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
41%
/ Low Confidence
- Tallinna Kalev haven't matched Flora Tallinn U21's recent run of results.
- 41% — that's where the model lands on Flora Tallinn U21 taking it.
- Regular Esiliiga form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Tallinna Kalev Clean Sheet 10%
Flora Tallinn U21 Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Tallinna Kalev | Flora Tallinn U21 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 12 | 14 |
| Draws | 6 | 6 |
| Losses | 11 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 2.21 | 2.41 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.76 | 1.59 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.75 | 1.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 18, 2026 Esiliiga
Tallinna Kalev vs Flora Tallinn U21
2:2
Aug 29, 2026 Esiliiga
Flora Tallinn U21 vs Tallinna Kalev
5:0
Jun 14, 2026 Esiliiga
Flora Tallinn U21 vs Tallinna Kalev
3:1
Apr 16, 2026 Esiliiga
Tallinna Kalev vs Flora Tallinn U21
1:4
Jan 18, 2026 Club Friendly
Tallinna Kalev vs Flora Tallinn U21
3:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Tallinna Kalev Compare
Top Goalscorer Ilves R.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88
Flora Tallinn U21 Compare
Top Goalscorer Maasik E.
1 Goals Assists Leader Oja R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Tallinna Kalev 10 / 100
Flora Tallinn U21 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Tallinna Kalev Flora Tallinn U21
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Flora Tallinn U21 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Tallinna Kalev's goal record stands at 93% scoring rate across 28 recent games.
Historical meetings average 4.40 goals per match.
Defensive concern: Flora Tallinn U21 conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.
Tallinna Kalev went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Tallinna Kalev VS Flora Tallinn U21
2 Goals Scored 2.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Tallinna Kalev
(Home) 24 Sept
Elva
3 : 2 Tallinna Kalev
18 Sept
Tallinna Kalev
2 : 2 Flora Tallinn U21
13 Sept
Maardu Linnameeskond
: Tallinna Kalev
10 Sept
Nomme Utd U21
2 : 1 Tallinna Kalev
05 Sept
Tallinna Kalev
1 : 1 Tartu JK Welco
Page 1 of 6
18 Sept
Tallinna Kalev
2 : 2 Flora Tallinn U21
05 Sept
Tallinna Kalev
1 : 1 Tartu JK Welco
24 Aug
Tallinna Kalev
1 : 3 Maardu Linnameeskond
15 Aug
Tallinna Kalev
1 : 0 Elva
11 Aug
Tallinna Kalev
8 : 0 Tartu Kalev
Page 1 of 3
Flora Tallinn U21
(Away) 18 Sept
Tallinna Kalev
2 : 2 Flora Tallinn U21
13 Sept
Flora Tallinn U21
1 : 2 Elva
10 Sept
Kalju U21
1 : 5 Flora Tallinn U21
04 Sept
Levadia U21
6 : 2 Flora Tallinn U21
29 Aug
Flora Tallinn U21
5 : 0 Tallinna Kalev
Page 1 of 6
18 Sept
Tallinna Kalev
2 : 2 Flora Tallinn U21
10 Sept
Kalju U21
1 : 5 Flora Tallinn U21
04 Sept
Levadia U21
6 : 2 Flora Tallinn U21
24 Aug
Elva
0 : 0 Flora Tallinn U21
15 Aug
Tartu JK Welco
2 : 1 Flora Tallinn U21
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tartu JK Welco | 32 | 21 | 5 | 6 | 85:39 | 68 |
| 2 | Viimsi JK | 31 | 16 | 5 | 10 | 56:31 | 53 |
| 3 | Flora Tallinn U21 | 32 | 15 | 6 | 11 | 73:55 | 51 |
| 4 | Elva | 32 | 15 | 6 | 11 | 47:48 | 51 |
| 5 | Levadia U21 | 31 | 15 | 2 | 14 | 61:55 | 47 |
| 6 | Tallinna Kalev | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 52:55 | 40 |
| 7 | Nomme Utd U21 | 32 | 11 | 6 | 15 | 50:63 | 39 |
| 8 | FC Tallinn | 31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | 41:64 | 35 |
| 9 | Kalju U21 | 31 | 7 | 4 | 20 | 38:79 | 25 |
| 10 | Maardu Linnameeskond | 36 | 12 | 5 | 19 | 45:59 | 41 |
Promotion - Meistriliiga 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga B 2027 (Main)
