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Tallinna Kalev vs Koeru

Estonia Estonia

Estonian Cup 2009/2010
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 8-1, with Tallinna Kalev advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Tallinna Kalev
20%
Draws
48%
Koeru
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Koeru

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

32% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Tallinna Kalev come out ahead of Koeru on wins alone.
  • 32% — that's where the model lands on Tallinna Kalev taking it.
  • Tallinna Kalev have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Tallinna Kalev, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Tallinna Kalev Clean Sheet 18%
Koeru Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tallinna Kalev Koeru
Matches Played 30 7
Wins 13 2
Draws 6 0
Losses 11 5
Goals Scored 2.5 1.29
Goals Conceded 1.73 2.43
Expected Goals (xG) 2.23 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 2, 2009 Estonian Cup
Tallinna Kalev vs Koeru
8:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tallinna Kalev 85 / 100
Koeru 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tallinna Kalev Koeru

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tallinna Kalev Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tallinna Kalev found the back of the net in 93% of recent matches (30 games).

Koeru has conceded goals in 83% of their last 6 outings.

Historical meetings average 9.00 goals per match.

Koeru's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Tallinna Kalev VS -
3.25 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
100% Over 2.5 0%
75% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Tallinna Kalev

(Home)
24 Sept
Elva
3 : 2
Tallinna Kalev
18 Sept
Tallinna Kalev
2 : 2
Flora Tallinn U21
10 Sept
Nomme Utd U21
2 : 1
Tallinna Kalev
05 Sept
Tallinna Kalev
1 : 1
Tartu JK Welco
29 Aug
Flora Tallinn U21
5 : 0
Tallinna Kalev
Page 1 of 6

Koeru

(Away)
18 Jul
Kose
:
Koeru
17 Jun
Koeru
3 : 2
Viimsi Lovid
26 Jul
Koeru
0 : 1
Kalju
09 Jun
Koeru
0 : 2
Vastseliina Tannem
13 Jul
Pohja-Sakala
4 : 1
Koeru
Page 1 of 2

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Flora 4
Kuressaare 0
Tallinna Kalev 1
Kalju 3
Valga Warrior 1
Flora Tallinn U21 0
Nomme Utd 0
Tammeka Tartu 4
Kohtla-Jarve Lootus 6
FCI Tallinn 0
Voru 2
Ganvix Turi 4
Sillamae Kalev 3
Tallinn Piraaja 0
Narva 0
Levadia 3
Quarter-finals
Flora 2
Kalju 0
Valga Warrior 1
Tammeka Tartu 4
Kohtla-Jarve Lootus 5
Ganvix Turi 0
Sillamae Kalev 0
Levadia 1
Semi-finals
Flora 4
Tammeka Tartu 1
Kohtla-Jarve Lootus 0
Levadia 2
Final
Flora 0
Levadia 3