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Tallinna Kalev vs Maardu Linnameeskond - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Estonia Estonia

Esiliiga Kadrioru Staadion, Tallinn
Tallinna Kalev Logo

Tallinna Kalev

1 - 3
FT
Maardu Linnameeskond Logo

Maardu Linnameeskond

Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Tsombaljuk S.
Assist: Volkov A.
24' Event
Jumankin M.
Assist: Volkov A.
28'
Timoska A.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Esiliiga game between Tallinna Kalev and Maardu Linnameeskond finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Maardu Linnameeskond.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Tallinna Kalev
15%
Draws
0%
Maardu Linnameeskond
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tallinna Kalev

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Tallinna Kalev's 2.13 goals per match outpaces what Maardu Linnameeskond have produced (1.47).
  • Win probability leans Tallinna Kalev's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Regular Esiliiga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.6%
Tallinna Kalev Clean Sheet 17%
Maardu Linnameeskond Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tallinna Kalev Maardu Linnameeskond
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 12 12
Draws 7 5
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 2.13 1.47
Goals Conceded 1.74 1.73
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Esiliiga
Maardu Linnameeskond vs Tallinna Kalev
0:0
Aug 24, 2026 Esiliiga
Tallinna Kalev vs Maardu Linnameeskond
1:3
Jul 3, 2026 Esiliiga
Tallinna Kalev vs Maardu Linnameeskond
3:3
Apr 3, 2026 Esiliiga
Maardu Linnameeskond vs Tallinna Kalev
1:1
Nov 21, 2021 Esiliiga
Maardu Linnameeskond vs Tallinna Kalev
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tallinna Kalev Compare

Top Goalscorer Lehtmaa H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Maardu Linnameeskond Compare

Top Goalscorer Tsombaljuk S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Jumankin M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tallinna Kalev 41 / 100
Maardu Linnameeskond 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tallinna Kalev Maardu Linnameeskond

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tallinna Kalev's goal record stands at 93% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Maardu Linnameeskond let in goals in 88% of their last 26 matches.

Away concern: Maardu Linnameeskond has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Scoring Trends

Tallinna Kalev VS Maardu Linnameeskond
1.88 Goals Scored 1.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Tallinna Kalev

(Home)
10 Oct
Tallinna Kalev
1 : 2
Viimsi JK
24 Sept
Elva
3 : 2
Tallinna Kalev
18 Sept
Tallinna Kalev
2 : 2
Flora Tallinn U21
13 Sept
Maardu Linnameeskond
:
Tallinna Kalev
10 Sept
Nomme Utd U21
2 : 1
Tallinna Kalev
Page 1 of 7

Maardu Linnameeskond

(Away)
15 Oct
Viimsi JK
:
Maardu Linnameeskond
11 Oct
Maardu Linnameeskond
:
Kalju U21
19 Sept
Levadia U21
:
Maardu Linnameeskond
13 Sept
Maardu Linnameeskond
:
Tallinna Kalev
10 Sept
FC Tallinn
4 : 0
Maardu Linnameeskond
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tartu JK Welco 32 21 5 6 85:39 68
2 Viimsi JK 32 17 5 10 58:32 56
3 Flora Tallinn U21 32 15 6 11 73:55 51
4 Elva 32 15 6 11 47:48 51
5 Levadia U21 31 15 2 14 61:55 47
6 Tallinna Kalev 31 11 7 13 53:57 40
7 Nomme Utd U21 32 11 6 15 50:63 39
8 FC Tallinn 31 9 8 14 41:64 35
9 Kalju U21 31 7 4 20 38:79 25
10 Maardu Linnameeskond 36 12 5 19 45:59 41
Promotion - Meistriliiga 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga B 2027 (Main)