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Tallinna Kalev vs Tabasalu II

Estonia Estonia

Estonian Cup 2021/2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Tallinna Kalev play Tabasalu II in the Estonian Cup 2021/2022. Tallinna Kalev are favorites here. Recently, Tallinna Kalev averaged 1.87 goals scored and 2.13 conceded. Tabasalu II averaged 1.75 goals scored and 3.5 conceded. In past meetings, Tallinna Kalev won 1, Tabasalu II won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Sep 2, 2021 ended 3:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.54 for Tallinna Kalev and 1.63 for Tabasalu II. This points to a Tallinna Kalev double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

71%
Tallinna Kalev
15%
Draws
14%
Tabasalu II
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tallinna Kalev

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Tallinna Kalev picked up more points recently compared to Tabasalu II.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.54 vs 1.63 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 86%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 86%
Over 3.5 Goals 52%
Over 4.5 Goals 26%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 60%
Tallinna Kalev Clean Sheet 14%
Tabasalu II Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 90%
Second Half Goal 95%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tallinna Kalev Tabasalu II
Matches Played 30 4
Wins 12 1
Draws 4 0
Losses 14 3
Goals Scored 1.87 1.75
Goals Conceded 2.13 3.5

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 2, 2021 Estonian Cup
Tallinna Kalev vs Tabasalu II
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tallinna Kalev Compare

Top Goalscorer Russ A. T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader El Aabchi S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Tabasalu II Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tallinna Kalev 67 / 100
Tabasalu II 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tallinna Kalev Tabasalu II

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tallinna Kalev Win (1)
Secondary Pick Tallinna Kalev & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +12.9%
1.59
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +7.5%
1.25
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Tallinna Kalev attacking → ← attacking Tabasalu II

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tallinna Kalev scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Tabasalu II let in goals in 75% of their last 4 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Tallinna Kalev went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Tabasalu II lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

40 Points in last 5 3
1.88 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
2.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00