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Tallinna Kalev W vs Elva W

Estonia Estonia

Meistriliiga Women 2025 Raja Jalgpallihall, Tallinn
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Vilipuu A.
16' Event
Orav M.
66' Event
Orav M.

AI Match Summary

Tallinna Kalev W in this Meistriliiga Women 2025 matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tallinna Kalev W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Tallinna Kalev W
6%
Draws
4%
Elva W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Tallinna Kalev W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Tallinna Kalev W lately — more wins on the board than Elva W.
  • Model gives Tallinna Kalev W a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Meistriliiga Women 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 84%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Tallinna Kalev W have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 94%
Over 1.5 Goals 84%
Over 2.5 Goals 84%
Over 3.5 Goals 67.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 30%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Tallinna Kalev W Clean Sheet 10%
Elva W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tallinna Kalev W Elva W
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 11 5
Draws 3 2
Losses 16 24
Goals Scored 1.8 1.75
Goals Conceded 3.4 3.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.80 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.40 3.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 19, 2025 Meistriliiga Women
Elva W vs Tallinna Kalev W
4:7
Aug 31, 2025 Meistriliiga Women
Tallinna Kalev W vs Elva W
4:1
Aug 10, 2025 Meistriliiga Women
Elva W vs Tallinna Kalev W
2:3
Apr 13, 2025 Meistriliiga Women
Tallinna Kalev W vs Elva W
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tallinna Kalev W Compare

Top Goalscorer Orav M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Vilipuu A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.38
Avg xA / game 0.9

Elva W Compare

Top Goalscorer Kisand L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tallinna Kalev W 83 / 100
Elva W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tallinna Kalev W Elva W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TAL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Elva W conceded in 100% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 5.75 goals as a typical output.

Tallinna Kalev W scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Elva W's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Tallinna Kalev W VS Elva W
1.8 Goals Scored 1.75
3.4 Goals Conceded 3.75
80% Over 1.5 88%
80% Over 2.5 88%
60% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Tallinna Kalev W

(Home)
08 Nov
Tallinna Kalev W
1 : 2
Tabasalu W
04 Nov
Tallinna Kalev W
0 : 1
Viimsi JK W
01 Nov
Saku Sporting W
4 : 0
Tallinna Kalev W
19 Oct
Elva W
4 : 7
Tallinna Kalev W
14 Oct
Tallinna Kalev W
1 : 6
Flora W
Page 1 of 6

Elva W

(Away)
26 Jul
Viimsi JK W
5 : 3
Elva W
18 Jul
Harju JK Laagri W
6 : 2
Elva W
20 Jun
Elva W
0 : 3
Paide Linnameeskond W
30 May
Elva W
3 : 2
Viimsi JK W
16 May
Flora W
7 : 1
Elva W
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Flora W272511126:1176
2Saku Sporting W27182784:4756
3Viimsi JK W27155760:3250
4Tabasalu W271421151:5544
5Tallinna Kalev W27931558:7730
6Tammeka Tartu W27451832:9517
7Elva W27422128:9614
8FC Ararat W21521422:4817
Promotion - Champions League Women (Qualification - First stage)