Sport Picks
Match Events
31'
31'
Rivero Santana A.
90'
90'
Ndiaye M.
AI Match Summary
The Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2025/2026 game between Tamaraceite and Lanzarote finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
39%
35%
26%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Tamaraceite
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
39%
/ Low Confidence
- Lanzarote haven't matched Tamaraceite's recent run of results.
- 39% — that's where the model lands on Tamaraceite taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 73%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Tamaraceite Clean Sheet 68%
Lanzarote Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Tamaraceite | Lanzarote |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 32 |
| Wins | 16 | 10 |
| Draws | 4 | 12 |
| Losses | 11 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.58 | 1.22 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.03 | 1.03 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.30 | 0.73 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 25, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Tamaraceite vs Lanzarote
1:1
Dec 21, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Lanzarote vs Tamaraceite
5:0
Feb 23, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Lanzarote vs Tamaraceite
0:1
Oct 12, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Tamaraceite vs Lanzarote
2:1
May 5, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Tamaraceite vs Lanzarote
0:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Tamaraceite Compare
Top Goalscorer Rivero Santana A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1
Avg xA / game 0.65
Lanzarote Compare
Top Goalscorer Ndiaye M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.66
Avg xA / game 0.41
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Tamaraceite 68 / 100
Lanzarote 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Tamaraceite Lanzarote
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Tamaraceite Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Tamaraceite scored in 77% of their last 31 games.
Defensive concern: Lanzarote conceded in 66% of 32 recent games.
These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.
Solid form: Tamaraceite remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Tamaraceite VS Lanzarote
1.75 Goals Scored 0.71
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.86
75% Over 1.5 71%
38% Over 2.5 14%
13% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Tamaraceite
(Home) 13 Sept
Sanluqueno
1 : 0 Tamaraceite
06 Sept
Tamaraceite
0 : 1 Sevilla B
29 Aug
Villa Santa Brigida
1 : 5 Tamaraceite
04 Aug
Tenerife
3 : 2 Tamaraceite
21 Jun
Tamaraceite
2 : 0 Guijuelo
Page 1 of 7
06 Sept
Tamaraceite
0 : 1 Sevilla B
21 Jun
Tamaraceite
2 : 0 Guijuelo
30 May
Tamaraceite
3 : 0 UD San Fernando
16 May
Tamaraceite
2 : 0 Mensajero
10 May
Tamaraceite
5 : 1 SD Tenisca
Page 1 of 3
Lanzarote
(Away) 13 Sept
Lanzarote
1 : 1 San Miguel
06 Aug
Lanzarote
1 : 2 Arenas Getxo
10 May
Lanzarote
0 : 0 Real Union Tenerife
03 May
San Bartolome
1 : 1 Lanzarote
25 Apr
Tamaraceite
1 : 1 Lanzarote
Page 1 of 7
03 May
San Bartolome
1 : 1 Lanzarote
25 Apr
Tamaraceite
1 : 1 Lanzarote
11 Apr
Herbania
0 : 0 Lanzarote
28 Mar
Las Palmas C
2 : 0 Lanzarote
14 Mar
Panaderia
1 : 1 Lanzarote
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Paso | 34 | 18 | 13 | 3 | 51:19 | 67 |
| 2 | UD San Fernando | 34 | 19 | 9 | 6 | 49:23 | 66 |
| 3 | Mensajero | 34 | 18 | 9 | 7 | 51:31 | 63 |
| 4 | Tamaraceite | 34 | 19 | 6 | 9 | 56:36 | 63 |
| 5 | Panaderia | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 47:33 | 55 |
| 6 | Las Palmas C | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 58:42 | 54 |
| 7 | Tenerife C | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 49:46 | 52 |
| 8 | Villa Santa Brigida | 34 | 15 | 5 | 14 | 42:35 | 50 |
| 9 | Lanzarote | 34 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 45:36 | 48 |
| 10 | Real Union Tenerife | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 34:32 | 45 |
| 11 | San Miguel | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 37:43 | 39 |
| 12 | CD Marino | 34 | 8 | 15 | 11 | 44:40 | 39 |
| 13 | Union Sur Yaiza | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 33:43 | 38 |
| 14 | San Bartolome | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 30:55 | 36 |
| 15 | Arucas | 34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 31:47 | 33 |
| 16 | Herbania | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 39:58 | 32 |
| 17 | SD Tenisca | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 32:68 | 25 |
| 18 | Telde | 34 | 5 | 10 | 19 | 30:71 | 25 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
