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Tamilnadu vs Nagaland

India India

Santosh Trophy 2023/2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Tamilnadu play Nagaland in the Santosh Trophy 2023/2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, Tamilnadu averaged 2 goals scored and 1.13 conceded. Nagaland averaged 1.64 goals scored and 1.6 conceded. In past meetings, Tamilnadu won 1, Nagaland won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jan 25, 2026 ended 0:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.00 for Tamilnadu and 0.94 for Nagaland. This points to a Tamilnadu double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Tamilnadu
24%
Draws
35%
Nagaland
Draw rate projection: 24% Favored: Tamilnadu

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Tamilnadu picked up more points recently compared to Nagaland.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.00 vs 0.94 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 57%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 76%
Over 2.5 Goals 57%
Over 3.5 Goals 34%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 40%
Tamilnadu Clean Sheet 24%
Nagaland Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 68%
Second Half Goal 72%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tamilnadu Nagaland
Matches Played 30 25
Wins 13 9
Draws 5 6
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 2 1.64
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.6
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 25, 2026 Santosh Trophy
Nagaland vs Tamilnadu
0:3
Oct 17, 2023 Santosh Trophy
Tamilnadu vs Nagaland
1:1
Dec 30, 2022 Santosh Trophy
Nagaland vs Tamilnadu
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tamilnadu Compare

Top Goalscorer Kamalesh P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Nagaland Compare

Top Goalscorer Peseyie K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tamilnadu 42 / 100
Nagaland 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tamilnadu Nagaland

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Tamilnadu or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +24.2%
3.03
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11.7%
1.96
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Tamilnadu attacking → ← attacking Nagaland

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tamilnadu scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Nagaland let in goals in 68% of their last 25 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Tamilnadu went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Nagaland lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

44 Points in last 5 33
2.13 Goals expected (xG) 1.38
0.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.88

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Goa FT43105:210
2Kerala430112:29
3Gujarat42117:57
4Jammu Kashmir (J&K)41034:103
5Chhattisgarh40040:90
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Delhi football team54106:113
2Punjab FT53029:29
3Odisha football team53028:39
4West Bengal FT52217:38
5Ladakh51042:173
6Haryana50140:61
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Manipur550021:415
2Uttar Pradesh540112:912
3Tamilnadu521213:57
4Nagaland521213:97
5Madhya Pradesh50141:161
6Jharkhand50142:191
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Assam550020:015
2Railways540113:212
3Chandigarh53026:59
4Himachal Pradesh51136:164
5Rajasthan FC51136:174
6Bihar50051:120
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Services550021:315
2Mizoram540114:212
3Uttarakhand530211:69
4Pondicherry51134:214
5Sikkim FA51043:83
6DNHDD FT50143:161
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Maharashtra550024:115
2Telangana52218:38
3Lakshadweep52217:68
4Tripura51224:65
5Andamans & Nicobar51133:164
6Andhra Pradesh50140:141