Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Tammeka Tartu U21 vs Narva U21

Estonia Estonia

Esiliiga B
Our Tip

Match Events

37' Event
Pereira dos Santos K.
65'
Jurgenthal G.
67' Event
Shantenkov V.

AI Match Summary

Tammeka Tartu U21 in this Esiliiga B matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tammeka Tartu U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

14%
Tammeka Tartu U21
15%
Draws
71%
Narva U21
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Narva U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / High Confidence
  • Tammeka Tartu U21 haven't matched Narva U21's recent run of results.
  • Narva U21 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Tammeka Tartu U21 Clean Sheet 10%
Narva U21 Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tammeka Tartu U21 Narva U21
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 15 19
Draws 4 3
Losses 11 7
Goals Scored 2.47 2.38
Goals Conceded 2 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 15, 2026 Esiliiga B
Narva U21 vs Tammeka Tartu U21
1:0
Jul 12, 2026 Esiliiga B
Tammeka Tartu U21 vs Narva U21
2:1
May 24, 2026 Esiliiga B
Tammeka Tartu U21 vs Narva U21
2:1
Apr 23, 2026 Esiliiga B
Narva U21 vs Tammeka Tartu U21
4:1
Nov 4, 2024 Esiliiga B
Narva U21 vs Tammeka Tartu U21
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tammeka Tartu U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Pereira dos Santos K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Karis K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Narva U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Shantenkov V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.99
Avg xA / game 1.22

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tammeka Tartu U21 10 / 100
Narva U21 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tammeka Tartu U21 Narva U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Narva U21 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tammeka Tartu U21 scored in 87% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Narva U21 conceded in 62% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Tammeka Tartu U21 stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tammeka Tartu U21 VS Narva U21
1.88 Goals Scored 2.25
2.13 Goals Conceded 0.63
88% Over 1.5 50%
88% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Tammeka Tartu U21

(Home)
21 Sept
Levadia U19
1 : 0
Tammeka Tartu U21
15 Sept
Narva U21
1 : 0
Tammeka Tartu U21
10 Sept
Tammeka Tartu U21
3 : 2
Tulevik
05 Sept
Tabasalu
3 : 2
Tammeka Tartu U21
31 Aug
Tammeka Tartu U21
2 : 5
Levadia U19
Page 1 of 6

Narva U21

(Away)
19 Sept
Tallinna Kalev U21
1 : 2
Narva U21
15 Sept
Narva U21
1 : 0
Tammeka Tartu U21
11 Sept
Narva U21
1 : 0
Levadia U19
06 Sept
Tartu Kalev
0 : 1
Narva U21
29 Aug
Narva U21
4 : 0
Tabasalu
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Narva U21 29 19 3 7 69:35 60
2 Levadia U19 30 18 2 10 75:52 56
3 Johvi Phoenix 30 17 3 10 71:68 54
4 Tammeka Tartu U21 30 15 4 11 74:60 49
5 Tartu Kalev 29 15 2 12 71:52 47
6 Parnu JK Vaprus U21 30 14 4 12 95:62 46
7 Tulevik 29 13 5 11 74:60 44
8 Tabasalu 30 10 3 17 44:81 33
9 Tallinna Kalev U21 30 7 5 18 60:77 26
10 Legion 29 3 3 23 25:111 12
Promotion - Esiliiga 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Esiliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga B (Relegation)