Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Tammeka Tartu U21 vs Tallinna Kalev U21 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Estonia Estonia

Esiliiga B
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Tuur G.
37' Event
Alunurm T.
40' Event
Lehtmaa H.

AI Match Summary

The Esiliiga B game between Tammeka Tartu U21 and Tallinna Kalev U21 finished 5-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tammeka Tartu U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Tammeka Tartu U21
15%
Draws
46%
Tallinna Kalev U21
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tallinna Kalev U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Tammeka Tartu U21 come out ahead of Tallinna Kalev U21 on wins alone.
  • 46% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Esiliiga B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 82.2%
Tammeka Tartu U21 Clean Sheet 10%
Tallinna Kalev U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tammeka Tartu U21 Tallinna Kalev U21
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 14 9
Draws 4 6
Losses 11 15
Goals Scored 2.41 2.1
Goals Conceded 1.97 2.43
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 20, 2026 Esiliiga B
Tammeka Tartu U21 vs Tallinna Kalev U21
5:4
May 28, 2026 Esiliiga B
Tallinna Kalev U21 vs Tammeka Tartu U21
0:1
Apr 11, 2026 Esiliiga B
Tammeka Tartu U21 vs Tallinna Kalev U21
3:2
Sep 22, 2025 Esiliiga
Tammeka Tartu U21 vs Tallinna Kalev U21
4:5
Aug 1, 2025 Esiliiga
Tallinna Kalev U21 vs Tammeka Tartu U21
5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tammeka Tartu U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Tuur G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Uggeri G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Tallinna Kalev U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Lehtmaa H.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Alunurm T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tammeka Tartu U21 30 / 100
Tallinna Kalev U21 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tammeka Tartu U21 Tallinna Kalev U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tallinna Kalev U21 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:3
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Tammeka Tartu U21 scored in 86% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Tallinna Kalev U21 conceded in 97% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 5.80 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Tammeka Tartu U21 stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tammeka Tartu U21 VS Tallinna Kalev U21
1.5 Goals Scored 1.88
2.25 Goals Conceded 2.5
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Tammeka Tartu U21

(Home)
11 Oct
Tabasalu
1 : 2
Tammeka Tartu U21
21 Sept
Levadia U19
1 : 0
Tammeka Tartu U21
15 Sept
Narva U21
1 : 0
Tammeka Tartu U21
10 Sept
Tammeka Tartu U21
3 : 2
Tulevik
05 Sept
Tabasalu
3 : 2
Tammeka Tartu U21
Page 1 of 6

Tallinna Kalev U21

(Away)
11 Oct
Tallinna Kalev U21
1 : 1
Parnu JK Vaprus U21
03 Oct
Tulevik
1 : 3
Tallinna Kalev U21
19 Sept
Tallinna Kalev U21
1 : 2
Narva U21
14 Sept
Johvi Phoenix
4 : 3
Tallinna Kalev U21
11 Sept
Tallinna Kalev U21
4 : 1
Tabasalu
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Narva U21 31 21 3 7 72:36 66
2 Levadia U19 32 20 2 10 80:52 62
3 Johvi Phoenix 31 17 3 11 71:69 54
4 Tammeka Tartu U21 31 16 4 11 76:61 52
5 Tulevik 32 15 5 12 83:65 50
6 Parnu JK Vaprus U21 31 14 5 12 96:63 47
7 Tartu Kalev 31 15 2 14 72:60 47
8 Tabasalu 31 10 3 18 45:83 33
9 Tallinna Kalev U21 32 8 6 18 64:79 30
10 Legion 32 3 3 26 27:118 12
Promotion - Esiliiga 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Esiliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga B (Relegation)