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Tammeka Tartu vs Paide Linnameeskond - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Estonia Estonia

Meistriliiga Tamme Stadium, Tartu
Our Tip

Match Events

22'
Lisboa Thomas
28' Event
Palacios J.
Assist: Luts D.
55' Event
Sohna M. P.

AI Match Summary

Paide Linnameeskond in this Meistriliiga matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Paide Linnameeskond.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Tammeka Tartu
15%
Draws
51%
Paide Linnameeskond
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Paide Linnameeskond

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Tammeka Tartu have won more games recently than Paide Linnameeskond.
  • Win probability leans Paide Linnameeskond's way, sitting at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Paide Linnameeskond have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Tammeka Tartu Clean Sheet 12%
Paide Linnameeskond Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tammeka Tartu Paide Linnameeskond
Matches Played 28 31
Wins 15 14
Draws 2 7
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 1.89 1.55
Goals Conceded 1.46 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 9, 2026 Meistriliiga
Tammeka Tartu vs Paide Linnameeskond
0:2
May 1, 2026 Meistriliiga
Paide Linnameeskond vs Tammeka Tartu
0:1
Apr 12, 2026 Meistriliiga
Tammeka Tartu vs Paide Linnameeskond
1:4
Oct 29, 2025 Estonian Cup
Paide Linnameeskond vs Tammeka Tartu
3:0
Oct 18, 2025 Meistriliiga
Paide Linnameeskond vs Tammeka Tartu
5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tammeka Tartu Compare

Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Paide Linnameeskond Compare

Top Goalscorer Palacios J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sohna M. P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tammeka Tartu 14 / 100
Paide Linnameeskond 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tammeka Tartu Paide Linnameeskond

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Paide Linnameeskond Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 4:5
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Tammeka Tartu scored in 75% of their last 28 games.

Paide Linnameeskond has conceded goals in 77% of their last 31 outings.

Recent resilience: Tammeka Tartu stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tammeka Tartu VS Paide Linnameeskond
1.63 Goals Scored 1.88
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Tammeka Tartu

(Home)
02 Oct
Tammeka Tartu
4 : 1
Viimsi JK
20 Sept
Tammeka Tartu
1 : 3
Kalju
17 Sept
Levadia
6 : 0
Tammeka Tartu
13 Sept
Kuressaare
1 : 3
Tammeka Tartu
09 Sept
Tammeka Tartu
0 : 2
Paide Linnameeskond
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Paide Linnameeskond

(Away)
19 Sept
Nomme Utd
1 : 3
Paide Linnameeskond
16 Sept
Paide Linnameeskond
2 : 0
Parnu JK Vaprus
13 Sept
Paide Linnameeskond
1 : 2
Harju JK Laagri
09 Sept
Tammeka Tartu
0 : 2
Paide Linnameeskond
06 Sept
Paide Linnameeskond
0 : 2
Levadia
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Levadia 29 22 6 1 81:21 72
2 Flora 29 18 1 10 59:39 55
3 Paide Linnameeskond 29 15 6 8 48:36 51
4 Kalju 29 15 5 9 52:27 50
5 Tammeka Tartu 29 14 2 13 37:47 44
6 Harju JK Laagri 29 11 2 16 40:47 35
7 Parnu JK Vaprus 29 10 4 15 39:57 34
8 Kuressaare 29 8 5 16 31:49 29
9 Nomme Utd 29 9 1 19 47:68 28
10 Narva 29 5 4 20 22:65 19
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga 2027 (Main)