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Tammeka Tartu vs SK EPMU Tartu

Estonia Estonia

Estonian Cup 2014/2015 Tamme Stadium
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AI Match Summary

Tammeka Tartu play SK EPMU Tartu in the Estonian Cup 2014/2015. It looks like a close match. Recently, Tammeka Tartu averaged 1.62 goals scored and 1.52 conceded. SK EPMU Tartu averaged 1.59 goals scored and 3.18 conceded. In past meetings, Tammeka Tartu won 1, SK EPMU Tartu won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jun 5, 2014 ended 5:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.23 for Tammeka Tartu and 1.44 for SK EPMU Tartu. This points to a Tammeka Tartu double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Tammeka Tartu
15%
Draws
32%
SK EPMU Tartu
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tammeka Tartu

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

79% / High Confidence
  • Tammeka Tartu picked up more points recently compared to SK EPMU Tartu.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.23 vs 1.44 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 68%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 77%
Over 2.5 Goals 68%
Over 3.5 Goals 41%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 53%
Tammeka Tartu Clean Sheet 16%
SK EPMU Tartu Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 69%
Second Half Goal 73%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tammeka Tartu SK EPMU Tartu
Matches Played 29 17
Wins 14 7
Draws 3 0
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 1.62 1.59
Goals Conceded 1.52 3.18

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 5, 2014 Estonian Cup
Tammeka Tartu vs SK EPMU Tartu
5:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tammeka Tartu Compare

Top Goalscorer Tiirik K.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Suurpere G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

SK EPMU Tartu Compare

Top Goalscorer Semjonov T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Eessaar E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tammeka Tartu 51 / 100
SK EPMU Tartu 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tammeka Tartu SK EPMU Tartu

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tammeka Tartu Win (1)
Secondary Pick Tammeka Tartu & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +17.7%
2.22
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.5%
1.61
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Tammeka Tartu attacking → ← attacking SK EPMU Tartu

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tammeka Tartu scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

SK EPMU Tartu let in goals in 88% of their last 17 matches.

Games between these two average 7.00 goals.

Tammeka Tartu went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

SK EPMU Tartu lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

45 Points in last 5 21
1.25 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
1.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00