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Tampa Bay Mutiny vs Chicago Fire

USA USA

MLS 2001
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Chicago Fire in this MLS 2001 matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Chicago Fire.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Tampa Bay Mutiny
6%
Draws
90%
Chicago Fire
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Chicago Fire

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Tampa Bay Mutiny haven't matched Chicago Fire's recent run of results.
  • Chicago Fire are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Chicago Fire have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Tampa Bay Mutiny Clean Sheet 18%
Chicago Fire Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tampa Bay Mutiny Chicago Fire
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 4 20
Draws 3 6
Losses 23 8
Goals Scored 0 1.63
Goals Conceded 0 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 10, 2001 MLS
Chicago Fire vs Tampa Bay Mutiny
3:1
Jul 6, 2001 MLS
Tampa Bay Mutiny vs Chicago Fire
2:3
May 4, 2001 MLS
Chicago Fire vs Tampa Bay Mutiny
2:0
Apr 27, 2001 MLS
Tampa Bay Mutiny vs Chicago Fire
0:1
Aug 25, 2000 MLS
Tampa Bay Mutiny vs Chicago Fire
3:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tampa Bay Mutiny 10 / 100
Chicago Fire 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tampa Bay Mutiny Chicago Fire

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CHI Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Tampa Bay Mutiny scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Chicago Fire's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 34 matches.

Tampa Bay Mutiny went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Chicago Fire
0 Goals Scored 1.63
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 25%