Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Tampa Bay Sun W vs Brooklyn W

USA USA

USL Super League Women 2025/2026 Riverfront Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

25'
Shin Na-Yeong
29'
Hendrix B.
34'
Sub
Scarpelli L. In: Freitas M.
Out: Scarpelli L.

AI Match Summary

Tampa Bay Sun W host Brooklyn W in the USL Super League Women 2025/2026. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: Tampa Bay Sun W at 0.75 goals for, 1.88 against; Brooklyn W at 1 for, 1.38 against. Past meetings favor Brooklyn W slightly — 0-3-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 18, 2026, ending 0:3. xG projections (1.06 - 1.44) back Brooklyn W to edge this. Brooklyn W in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Tampa Bay Sun W
44%
Draws
20%
Brooklyn W
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Tampa Bay Sun W has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Brooklyn W.
  • Model projects a tightly contested fixture with a 44% draw probability.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in USL Super League Women 2025/2026 provide steady trend data.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Tampa Bay Sun W Clean Sheet 16%
Brooklyn W Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tampa Bay Sun W Brooklyn W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 6
Draws 9 10
Losses 14 14
Goals Scored 0.75 1
Goals Conceded 1.88 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 18, 2026 USL Super League Women
Tampa Bay Sun W vs Brooklyn W
0:3
Dec 14, 2025 USL Super League Women
Tampa Bay Sun W vs Brooklyn W
0:3
Oct 11, 2025 USL Super League Women
Brooklyn W vs Tampa Bay Sun W
2:2
Aug 23, 2025 USL Super League Women
Brooklyn W vs Tampa Bay Sun W
2:1
Mar 29, 2025 USL Super League Women
Brooklyn W vs Tampa Bay Sun W
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tampa Bay Sun W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Brooklyn W Compare

Top Goalscorer Zimmerman C.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Breslin H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tampa Bay Sun W 36 / 100
Brooklyn W 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tampa Bay Sun W Brooklyn W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BRO Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tampa Bay Sun W scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Brooklyn W let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Tampa Bay Sun W went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Brooklyn W lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tampa Bay Sun W VS Brooklyn W
0.75 Goals Scored 1
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Lexington W281411350:2453
2Sporting Jax W28165754:3253
3Carolina Ascent W28156739:2751
4Dallas Trinity W281171036:4040
5Spokane Zephyr W28109934:2839
6DC Power W28891134:3233
7Brooklyn W28681431:4426
8Tampa Bay Sun W28591427:4624
9Fort Lauderdale United W28581530:6223