Sport Picks
Tampa Bay Sun W vs Carolina Ascent W
USA
USL Super League Women 2025/2026 Riverfront Stadium 
Match Events
AI Match Summary
The USL Super League Women 2025/2026 game between Tampa Bay Sun W and Carolina Ascent W finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Carolina Ascent W.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Tampa Bay Sun W haven't matched Carolina Ascent W's recent run of results.
- Carolina Ascent W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Tampa Bay Sun W | Carolina Ascent W |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 31 |
| Wins | 8 | 16 |
| Draws | 9 | 6 |
| Losses | 14 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 0.75 | 1.38 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.88 | 0.38 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.75 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.88 | 0.38 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Tampa Bay Sun W Compare
Carolina Ascent W Compare
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Tampa Bay Sun W's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 31 recent games.
Carolina Ascent W let in goals in 65% of their last 31 matches.
H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.
Tampa Bay Sun W went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lexington W | 28 | 14 | 11 | 3 | 50:24 | 53 |
| 2 | Sporting Jax W | 28 | 16 | 5 | 7 | 54:32 | 53 |
| 3 | Carolina Ascent W | 28 | 15 | 6 | 7 | 39:27 | 51 |
| 4 | Dallas Trinity W | 28 | 11 | 7 | 10 | 36:40 | 40 |
| 5 | Spokane Zephyr W | 28 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 34:28 | 39 |
| 6 | DC Power W | 28 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 34:32 | 33 |
| 7 | Brooklyn W | 28 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 31:44 | 26 |
| 8 | Tampa Bay Sun W | 28 | 5 | 9 | 14 | 27:46 | 24 |
| 9 | Fort Lauderdale United W | 28 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 30:62 | 23 |