Sport Picks
Tampa Bay Sun W vs Carolina Ascent W
USA
USL Super League Women 2025/2026 Riverfront Stadium, Tampa, FL 
Match Events
AI Match Summary
The USL Super League Women 2025/2026 game between Tampa Bay Sun W and Carolina Ascent W finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Carolina Ascent W.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Look at the last few games and Carolina Ascent W come out ahead of Tampa Bay Sun W on wins alone.
- 90% — that's where the model lands on Carolina Ascent W taking it.
- Regular USL Super League Women 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Tampa Bay Sun W | Carolina Ascent W |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 7 | 16 |
| Draws | 9 | 6 |
| Losses | 14 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 0.75 | 1.38 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.88 | 0.38 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.75 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.88 | 0.38 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Tampa Bay Sun W Compare
Carolina Ascent W Compare
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Tampa Bay Sun W scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.
Defensive concern: Carolina Ascent W conceded in 63% of 30 recent games.
H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.
Tampa Bay Sun W went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Tampa Bay Sun W
(Home)Carolina Ascent W
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lexington W | 28 | 14 | 11 | 3 | 50:24 | 53 |
| 2 | Sporting Jax W | 28 | 16 | 5 | 7 | 54:32 | 53 |
| 3 | Carolina Ascent W | 28 | 15 | 6 | 7 | 39:27 | 51 |
| 4 | Dallas Trinity W | 28 | 11 | 7 | 10 | 36:40 | 40 |
| 5 | Spokane Zephyr W | 28 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 34:28 | 39 |
| 6 | DC Power W | 28 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 34:32 | 33 |
| 7 | Brooklyn W | 28 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 31:44 | 26 |
| 8 | Tampa Bay Sun W | 28 | 5 | 9 | 14 | 27:46 | 24 |
| 9 | Fort Lauderdale United W | 28 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 30:62 | 23 |