Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Tampa Bay Sun W vs DC Power W

USA USA

USL Super League Women 2025/2026 Riverfront Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

14'
Colton E.
18' Event
Walker A.
Assist: Abera L.
24' Event
Torbert D.
Assist: Almendariz P.

AI Match Summary

The USL Super League Women 2025/2026 game between Tampa Bay Sun W and DC Power W finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward DC Power W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Tampa Bay Sun W
6%
Draws
90%
DC Power W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: DC Power W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • DC Power W's 1.25 goals per match outpaces what Tampa Bay Sun W have produced (0.75).
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on DC Power W taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Tampa Bay Sun W Clean Sheet 15%
DC Power W Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tampa Bay Sun W DC Power W
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 8 8
Draws 9 10
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 0.75 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.88 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 USL Super League Women
Tampa Bay Sun W vs DC Power W
0:2
Mar 26, 2026 USL Super League Women
DC Power W vs Tampa Bay Sun W
0:2
Feb 15, 2026 USL Super League Women
Tampa Bay Sun W vs DC Power W
1:1
May 24, 2025 USL Super League Women
Tampa Bay Sun W vs DC Power W
2:0
Apr 18, 2025 USL Super League Women
DC Power W vs Tampa Bay Sun W
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tampa Bay Sun W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

DC Power W Compare

Top Goalscorer Walker A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Torbert D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tampa Bay Sun W 10 / 100
DC Power W 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tampa Bay Sun W DC Power W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tampa Bay Sun W scored in 68% of their last 31 games.

DC Power W let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Tampa Bay Sun W went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tampa Bay Sun W VS DC Power W
0.75 Goals Scored 1.25
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Lexington W281411350:2453
2Sporting Jax W28165754:3253
3Carolina Ascent W28156739:2751
4Dallas Trinity W281171036:4040
5Spokane Zephyr W28109934:2839
6DC Power W28891134:3233
7Brooklyn W28681431:4426
8Tampa Bay Sun W28591427:4624
9Fort Lauderdale United W28581530:6223