Sport Picks
Tampa Bay Sun W vs Fort Lauderdale United W
USA
USL Super League Women 2025/2026 Riverfront Stadium, Tampa, FL 
Match Events
12'
12'
Nasello S.
38'
38'
Fusco J.
46'
46'
Sub
Smith T. In: Gonzalez K.
Out: Smith T.
AI Match Summary
Tampa Bay Sun W in this USL Super League Women 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tampa Bay Sun W.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
90%
6%
4%
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Tampa Bay Sun W
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
95%
/ Very High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Tampa Bay Sun W lately — more wins on the board than Fort Lauderdale United W.
- Win probability leans Tampa Bay Sun W's way, sitting at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Tampa Bay Sun W Clean Sheet 17%
Fort Lauderdale United W Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Tampa Bay Sun W | Fort Lauderdale United W |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 30 |
| Wins | 8 | 6 |
| Draws | 9 | 8 |
| Losses | 14 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 0.75 | 0.88 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.88 | 2.38 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.75 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.88 | 2.38 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 2, 2026 USL Super League Women
Fort Lauderdale United W vs Tampa Bay Sun W
1:2
Feb 22, 2026 USL Super League Women
Tampa Bay Sun W vs Fort Lauderdale United W
3:0
Nov 16, 2025 USL Super League Women
Fort Lauderdale United W vs Tampa Bay Sun W
1:1
Oct 4, 2025 USL Super League Women
Tampa Bay Sun W vs Fort Lauderdale United W
0:0
Jun 14, 2025 USL Super League Women
Tampa Bay Sun W vs Fort Lauderdale United W
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Tampa Bay Sun W Compare
Top Goalscorer Nasello S.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38
Fort Lauderdale United W Compare
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Tampa Bay Sun W 84 / 100
Fort Lauderdale United W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Tampa Bay Sun W Fort Lauderdale United W
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick TAM Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Fort Lauderdale United W let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.
Away concern: Fort Lauderdale United W has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.
Tampa Bay Sun W scored in 68% of their last 31 games.
Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.
Scoring Trends
Tampa Bay Sun W VS Fort Lauderdale United W
0.75 Goals Scored 0.88
1.88 Goals Conceded 2.38
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Tampa Bay Sun W
(Home) 16 May
Lexington W
1 : 0 Tampa Bay Sun W
09 May
Tampa Bay Sun W
0 : 2 Dallas Trinity W
02 May
Fort Lauderdale United W
1 : 2 Tampa Bay Sun W
25 Apr
Tampa Bay Sun W
1 : 2 Carolina Ascent W
18 Apr
Lexington W
4 : 0 Tampa Bay Sun W
Page 1 of 7
09 May
Tampa Bay Sun W
0 : 2 Dallas Trinity W
25 Apr
Tampa Bay Sun W
1 : 2 Carolina Ascent W
11 Apr
Tampa Bay Sun W
0 : 2 DC Power W
05 Apr
Tampa Bay Sun W
1 : 2 Carolina Ascent W
18 Mar
Tampa Bay Sun W
0 : 3 Brooklyn W
Page 1 of 4
Fort Lauderdale United W
(Away) 17 May
Dallas Trinity W
4 : 0 Fort Lauderdale United W
09 May
Fort Lauderdale United W
0 : 3 Carolina Ascent W
02 May
Fort Lauderdale United W
1 : 2 Tampa Bay Sun W
26 Apr
Spokane Zephyr W
3 : 1 Fort Lauderdale United W
22 Apr
DC Power W
4 : 0 Fort Lauderdale United W
Page 1 of 6
17 May
Dallas Trinity W
4 : 0 Fort Lauderdale United W
26 Apr
Spokane Zephyr W
3 : 1 Fort Lauderdale United W
22 Apr
DC Power W
4 : 0 Fort Lauderdale United W
28 Mar
Carolina Ascent W
1 : 1 Fort Lauderdale United W
21 Mar
Lexington W
2 : 0 Fort Lauderdale United W
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lexington W | 28 | 14 | 11 | 3 | 50:24 | 53 |
| 2 | Sporting Jax W | 28 | 16 | 5 | 7 | 54:32 | 53 |
| 3 | Carolina Ascent W | 28 | 15 | 6 | 7 | 39:27 | 51 |
| 4 | Dallas Trinity W | 28 | 11 | 7 | 10 | 36:40 | 40 |
| 5 | Spokane Zephyr W | 28 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 34:28 | 39 |
| 6 | DC Power W | 28 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 34:32 | 33 |
| 7 | Brooklyn W | 28 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 31:44 | 26 |
| 8 | Tampa Bay Sun W | 28 | 5 | 9 | 14 | 27:46 | 24 |
| 9 | Fort Lauderdale United W | 28 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 30:62 | 23 |
Promotion - USL Super League Women 2025/2026 (Play Offs)