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Tampa Bay Sun W vs Fort Lauderdale United W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

USA USA

USL Super League Women Riverfront Stadium, Tampa, FL
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Match Events

14'
Sub
Mace M. In: McDougal M.
Out: Mace M.
24' Event
Gordon S.
Assist: Walters F.
31'
Hill K.

AI Match Summary

The USL Super League Women game between Tampa Bay Sun W and Fort Lauderdale United W finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tampa Bay Sun W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Tampa Bay Sun W
20%
Draws
22%
Fort Lauderdale United W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Tampa Bay Sun W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Tampa Bay Sun W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Tampa Bay Sun W's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Tampa Bay Sun W Clean Sheet 20%
Fort Lauderdale United W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tampa Bay Sun W Fort Lauderdale United W
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 7 4
Draws 9 5
Losses 13 20
Goals Scored 1.03 0.79
Goals Conceded 1.62 2.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 USL Super League Women
Tampa Bay Sun W vs Fort Lauderdale United W
2:1
May 2, 2026 USL Super League Women
Fort Lauderdale United W vs Tampa Bay Sun W
1:2
Feb 22, 2026 USL Super League Women
Tampa Bay Sun W vs Fort Lauderdale United W
3:0
Nov 16, 2025 USL Super League Women
Fort Lauderdale United W vs Tampa Bay Sun W
1:1
Oct 4, 2025 USL Super League Women
Tampa Bay Sun W vs Fort Lauderdale United W
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tampa Bay Sun W Compare

Top Goalscorer Waldeck-Zierenberg T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Connors S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Fort Lauderdale United W Compare

Top Goalscorer Gordon S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tampa Bay Sun W 40 / 100
Fort Lauderdale United W 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tampa Bay Sun W Fort Lauderdale United W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tampa Bay Sun W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fort Lauderdale United W has conceded goals in 93% of their last 29 outings.

Tampa Bay Sun W found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Solid form: Tampa Bay Sun W remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Tampa Bay Sun W VS Fort Lauderdale United W
1.13 Goals Scored 0.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Tampa Bay Sun W

(Home)
10 Oct
Tampa Bay Sun W
0 : 3
Carolina Ascent W
04 Oct
Tampa Bay Sun W
1 : 1
Lexington W
18 Sept
DC Power W
1 : 1
Tampa Bay Sun W
12 Sept
Tampa Bay Sun W
2 : 1
Fort Lauderdale United W
29 Aug
Carolina Ascent W
1 : 2
Tampa Bay Sun W
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Fort Lauderdale United W

(Away)
11 Oct
Fort Lauderdale United W
2 : 1
Lexington W
02 Oct
Brooklyn W
1 : 0
Fort Lauderdale United W
22 Sept
DC Power W
2 : 1
Fort Lauderdale United W
18 Sept
Fort Lauderdale United W
1 : 2
Dallas Trinity W
12 Sept
Tampa Bay Sun W
2 : 1
Fort Lauderdale United W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Carolina Ascent W 8 6 1 1 16:6 19
2 Sporting Jax W 7 3 2 2 12:10 11
3 Dallas Trinity W 8 3 2 3 10:12 11
4 DC Power W 7 3 2 2 11:8 11
5 Lexington W 7 3 1 3 10:6 10
6 Tampa Bay Sun W 7 2 3 2 9:11 9
7 Brooklyn W 8 2 1 5 6:15 7
8 Fort Lauderdale United W 8 2 0 6 6:12 6
Promotion - USL Super League Women (Play Offs)