Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Tampa Bay Sun W vs Sporting Jax W

USA USA

USL Super League Women 2025/2026 Riverfront Stadium, Tampa, FL
Our Tip

Match Events

29'
Haugen V.
33' Event
DeSmit B.
38' Event
Boman S.

AI Match Summary

The USL Super League Women 2025/2026 game between Tampa Bay Sun W and Sporting Jax W finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sporting Jax W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Tampa Bay Sun W
28%
Draws
50%
Sporting Jax W
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Sporting Jax W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Sporting Jax W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 50% — that's where the model lands on Sporting Jax W taking it.
  • Regular USL Super League Women 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Sporting Jax W here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Tampa Bay Sun W Clean Sheet 10%
Sporting Jax W Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tampa Bay Sun W Sporting Jax W
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 7 16
Draws 9 5
Losses 14 8
Goals Scored 1 2
Goals Conceded 1.88 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 20, 2025 USL Super League Women
Sporting Jax W vs Tampa Bay Sun W
3:1
Dec 7, 2025 USL Super League Women
Tampa Bay Sun W vs Sporting Jax W
0:3
Oct 18, 2025 USL Super League Women
Sporting Jax W vs Tampa Bay Sun W
1:1
Aug 31, 2025 USL Super League Women
Tampa Bay Sun W vs Sporting Jax W
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tampa Bay Sun W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Sporting Jax W Compare

Top Goalscorer DeSmit B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Boman S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tampa Bay Sun W 22 / 100
Sporting Jax W 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tampa Bay Sun W Sporting Jax W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SPO Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.

Tampa Bay Sun W scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Sporting Jax W conceded in 62% of 29 recent games.

Sporting Jax W's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Tampa Bay Sun W VS Sporting Jax W
1 Goals Scored 2
1.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Tampa Bay Sun W

(Home)
16 May
Lexington W
1 : 0
Tampa Bay Sun W
09 May
Tampa Bay Sun W
0 : 2
Dallas Trinity W
02 May
Fort Lauderdale United W
1 : 2
Tampa Bay Sun W
25 Apr
Tampa Bay Sun W
1 : 2
Carolina Ascent W
18 Apr
Lexington W
4 : 0
Tampa Bay Sun W
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Sporting Jax W

(Away)
24 May
Sporting Jax W
0 : 1
Carolina Ascent W
16 May
Carolina Ascent W
3 : 1
Sporting Jax W
06 May
DC Power W
0 : 1
Sporting Jax W
03 May
Sporting Jax W
2 : 1
Brooklyn W
25 Apr
Sporting Jax W
1 : 2
Lexington W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Lexington W281411350:2453
2Sporting Jax W28165754:3253
3Carolina Ascent W28156739:2751
4Dallas Trinity W281171036:4040
5Spokane Zephyr W28109934:2839
6DC Power W28891134:3233
7Brooklyn W28681431:4426
8Tampa Bay Sun W28591427:4624
9Fort Lauderdale United W28581530:6223
Promotion - USL Super League Women 2025/2026 (Play Offs)