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Tampa Bay vs South Georgia Tormenta

USA USA

USL Cup 2025 Al Lang Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

6'
Doyle C.
28' Event
Vivas S.
Assist: Nyandjo J.
39'
Crisostomo D.

AI Match Summary

The USL Cup 2025 game between Tampa Bay and South Georgia Tormenta finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tampa Bay.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Tampa Bay
33%
Draws
40%
South Georgia Tormenta
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: South Georgia Tormenta

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Tampa Bay come out ahead of South Georgia Tormenta on wins alone.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on South Georgia Tormenta taking it.
  • It's a cup tie, so expect more urgency than a normal USL Cup 2025 game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Tampa Bay Clean Sheet 20%
South Georgia Tormenta Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tampa Bay South Georgia Tormenta
Matches Played 28 31
Wins 18 14
Draws 7 5
Losses 3 12
Goals Scored 1.75 0
Goals Conceded 0.63 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 31, 2025 USL Cup
Tampa Bay vs South Georgia Tormenta
2:1
Feb 19, 2025 Club Friendly
Tampa Bay vs South Georgia Tormenta
3:0
Feb 25, 2023 Club Friendly
Tampa Bay vs South Georgia Tormenta
1:3
Mar 20, 2021 Club Friendly
Tampa Bay vs South Georgia Tormenta
2:1
Feb 23, 2020 Club Friendly
Tampa Bay vs South Georgia Tormenta
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tampa Bay Compare

Top Goalscorer Pacius W.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bassett O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

South Georgia Tormenta Compare

Top Goalscorer Vivas S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tampa Bay 28 / 100
South Georgia Tormenta 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tampa Bay South Georgia Tormenta

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TRM Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tampa Bay found the back of the net in 93% of recent matches (28 games).

South Georgia Tormenta has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Tampa Bay went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tampa Bay VS -
1.75 Goals Scored 0
0.63 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

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PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Greenville Triumph43016:39
2Tampa Bay42028:77
3South Georgia Tormenta42028:87
4Charleston42026:65
5Miami FC42028:95
6FC Naples41034:73