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Tampa Bay vs Sporting Jax

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Tampa Bay in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tampa Bay.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Tampa Bay
20%
Draws
22%
Sporting Jax
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Tampa Bay

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Tampa Bay lately — more wins on the board than Sporting Jax.
  • Model gives Tampa Bay a 58% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Tampa Bay have won 3 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Tampa Bay Clean Sheet 20%
Sporting Jax Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tampa Bay Sporting Jax
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 17 4
Draws 7 4
Losses 5 20
Goals Scored 1.76 1.11
Goals Conceded 0.86 2.5
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 6, 2026 USL Cup
Sporting Jax vs Tampa Bay
0:2
Apr 4, 2026 USL Championship
Sporting Jax vs Tampa Bay
0:1
Feb 28, 2026 Club Friendly
Tampa Bay vs Sporting Jax
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tampa Bay 85 / 100
Sporting Jax 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tampa Bay Sporting Jax

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tampa Bay Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tampa Bay's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Sporting Jax let in goals in 96% of their last 28 matches.

Tampa Bay went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Sporting Jax lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tampa Bay VS Sporting Jax
1.63 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.88
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Tampa Bay

(Home)
27 Sept
San Antonio FC
0 : 0
Tampa Bay
19 Sept
Tampa Bay
4 : 0
Birmingham Legion
12 Sept
Hartford Athletic
3 : 1
Tampa Bay
05 Sept
Tampa Bay
2 : 0
Brooklyn FC
29 Aug
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
0 : 0
Tampa Bay
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Sporting Jax

(Away)
25 Sept
Sporting Jax
1 : 4
Loudoun United
16 Sept
Hartford Athletic
2 : 0
Sporting Jax
12 Sept
Sporting Jax
0 : 3
Rhode Island
05 Sept
Sporting Jax
3 : 2
Lexington
29 Aug
Brooklyn FC
4 : 1
Sporting Jax
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