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Tampa Bay vs Sporting Jax

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Tampa Bay in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tampa Bay.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Tampa Bay
11%
Draws
9%
Sporting Jax
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Tampa Bay

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Tampa Bay lately — more wins on the board than Sporting Jax.
  • Model gives Tampa Bay a 80% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Tampa Bay have won 3 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Tampa Bay Clean Sheet 19%
Sporting Jax Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tampa Bay Sporting Jax
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 18 5
Draws 9 6
Losses 3 17
Goals Scored 1.75 1.63
Goals Conceded 0.88 3.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 3.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 6, 2026 USL Cup
Sporting Jax vs Tampa Bay
0:2
Apr 4, 2026 USL Championship
Sporting Jax vs Tampa Bay
0:1
Feb 28, 2026 Club Friendly
Tampa Bay vs Sporting Jax
1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tampa Bay 76 / 100
Sporting Jax 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tampa Bay Sporting Jax

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TAM Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tampa Bay's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Sporting Jax let in goals in 89% of their last 28 matches.

Tampa Bay went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Games between these two average 1.33 goals.

Scoring Trends

Tampa Bay VS Sporting Jax
1.75 Goals Scored 1.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 3.38
88% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 75%