Sport Picks
Tampa Bay vs Sporting Jax - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
USA
USL Championship Al Lang Stadium, St. Petersburg, FL 
AI Match Summary
Tampa Bay host Sporting Jax in the USL Championship. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Recent numbers: Tampa Bay at 1.73 goals for, 0.9 against; Sporting Jax at 1.11 for, 2.59 against. Head-to-head, Tampa Bay have won 3 to Sporting Jax's 0, with 0 draws. They last met on Jun 6, 2026, ending 0:2. Model xG sits at 2.00 vs 0.94, favoring Tampa Bay. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Look at the last few games and Tampa Bay come out ahead of Sporting Jax on wins alone.
- 85% — that's where the model lands on Tampa Bay taking it.
- European nights carry their own weight — this USL Championship fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Tampa Bay have won 3 of the last 3 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Tampa Bay | Sporting Jax |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 27 |
| Wins | 17 | 4 |
| Draws | 7 | 4 |
| Losses | 6 | 19 |
| Goals Scored | 1.73 | 1.11 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.9 | 2.59 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.00 | 0.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Tampa Bay's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Sporting Jax's defensive record shows goals conceded in 96% of 27 matches.
Away concern: Sporting Jax has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.
Recent resilience: Tampa Bay stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Tampa Bay
(Home)Sporting Jax
(Away)League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tampa Bay | 29 | 17 | 7 | 5 | 50:26 | 58 |
| 2 | Charleston | 29 | 15 | 5 | 9 | 55:35 | 50 |
| 3 | Detroit City | 29 | 14 | 8 | 7 | 34:21 | 50 |
| 4 | Louisville City | 28 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 49:43 | 43 |
| 5 | Rhode Island | 29 | 12 | 6 | 11 | 41:31 | 42 |
| 6 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 29 | 12 | 6 | 11 | 31:29 | 42 |
| 7 | Hartford Athletic | 29 | 9 | 13 | 7 | 33:32 | 40 |
| 8 | Miami FC | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 39:49 | 36 |
| 9 | Indy Eleven | 29 | 9 | 7 | 13 | 35:40 | 34 |
| 10 | Loudoun United | 29 | 5 | 13 | 11 | 34:45 | 28 |
| 11 | Birmingham Legion | 28 | 5 | 12 | 11 | 37:43 | 27 |
| 12 | Brooklyn FC | 28 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 30:57 | 21 |
| 13 | Sporting Jax | 28 | 3 | 5 | 20 | 32:74 | 14 |
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | El Paso Locomotive | 29 | 15 | 5 | 9 | 48:37 | 50 |
| 2 | New Mexico | 29 | 14 | 7 | 8 | 44:34 | 49 |
| 3 | Sacramento Republic | 29 | 12 | 12 | 5 | 39:26 | 48 |
| 4 | Lexington | 29 | 14 | 5 | 10 | 54:36 | 47 |
| 5 | Colorado Springs | 29 | 12 | 8 | 9 | 42:38 | 44 |
| 6 | FC Tulsa | 29 | 11 | 10 | 8 | 34:29 | 43 |
| 7 | San Antonio FC | 29 | 10 | 12 | 7 | 30:29 | 42 |
| 8 | Phoenix Rising | 29 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 42:43 | 39 |
| 9 | Orange County SC | 29 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 38:47 | 39 |
| 10 | Oakland Roots | 29 | 9 | 11 | 9 | 37:37 | 38 |
| 11 | Las Vegas Lights | 29 | 10 | 6 | 13 | 40:46 | 36 |
| 12 | Monterey Bay | 29 | 5 | 6 | 18 | 30:51 | 21 |
