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Tamworth vs Aston Villa U21 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Kurtaran T.
49' Event
80' Event

AI Match Summary

Aston Villa U21 in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Aston Villa U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Tamworth
20%
Draws
29%
Aston Villa U21
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Tamworth

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Tamworth lately — more wins on the board than Aston Villa U21.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Tamworth taking it.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Tamworth have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 93%
Over 2.5 Goals 82%
Over 3.5 Goals 79.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 36%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Tamworth Clean Sheet 10%
Aston Villa U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tamworth Aston Villa U21
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 13 10
Draws 6 6
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 1.87 1.69
Goals Conceded 1.87 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.96 2.16
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 21, 2026 Club Friendly
Tamworth vs Aston Villa U21
1:2
Jul 29, 2025 Club Friendly
Tamworth vs Aston Villa U21
3:0
Jul 29, 2015 Club Friendly
Tamworth vs Aston Villa U21
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tamworth Compare

Top Goalscorer Kurtaran T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.51
Avg xA / game 0.98

Aston Villa U21 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.96
Avg xA / game 1.2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tamworth 38 / 100
Aston Villa U21 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tamworth Aston Villa U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tamworth Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tamworth scored in 93% of their last 30 games.

Aston Villa U21's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Tamworth stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tamworth VS Aston Villa U21
1.63 Goals Scored 1.57
2.75 Goals Conceded 2.29
100% Over 1.5 86%
100% Over 2.5 71%
88% Over 3.5 71%

Recent Form & Match History

Tamworth

(Home)
10 Oct
Tamworth
1 : 2
Barrow
06 Oct
Tamworth
1 : 0
Leeds U21
03 Oct
Hartlepool
0 : 1
Tamworth
30 Sept
Tamworth
2 : 0
Sutton
26 Sept
Aldershot
5 : 1
Tamworth
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Aston Villa U21

(Away)
22 Sept
Crewe
4 : 1
Aston Villa U21
18 Sept
Aston Villa U21
2 : 2
Middlesbrough U21
15 Sept
Aston Villa U21
5 : 1
Real Sociedad B
11 Sept
Fulham U21
3 : 3
Aston Villa U21
02 Sept
Aston Villa U21
0 : 4
Brondby U21
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