Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Tamworth vs Aston Villa U21

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Kurtaran T.
49' Event
80' Event

AI Match Summary

Aston Villa U21 in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Aston Villa U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Tamworth
33%
Draws
40%
Aston Villa U21
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Aston Villa U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Tamworth lately — more wins on the board than Aston Villa U21.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Aston Villa U21 taking it.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Tamworth have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 33.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Tamworth Clean Sheet 19%
Aston Villa U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tamworth Aston Villa U21
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 15 12
Draws 8 6
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 2 1.57
Goals Conceded 1 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.57
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.43

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 21, 2026 Club Friendly
Tamworth vs Aston Villa U21
1:2
Jul 29, 2025 Club Friendly
Tamworth vs Aston Villa U21
3:0
Jul 29, 2015 Club Friendly
Tamworth vs Aston Villa U21
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tamworth Compare

Top Goalscorer Kurtaran T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Aston Villa U21 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.43
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tamworth 28 / 100
Aston Villa U21 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tamworth Aston Villa U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AST Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tamworth scored in 82% of their last 33 games.

Aston Villa U21's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Tamworth stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tamworth VS Aston Villa U21
2 Goals Scored 1.57
1 Goals Conceded 1.43
63% Over 1.5 71%
50% Over 2.5 57%
38% Over 3.5 29%

Recent Form & Match History

Tamworth

(Home)
28 Jul
Tamworth
1 : 1
Macclesfield
25 Jul
Halesowen
2 : 2
Tamworth
21 Jul
Tamworth
1 : 2
Aston Villa U21
18 Jul
Tamworth
3 : 1
Stoke City U21
14 Jul
Port Vale
5 : 0
Tamworth
Page 1 of 7

Aston Villa U21

(Away)
21 Jul
Tamworth
1 : 2
Aston Villa U21
01 May
Aston Villa U21
2 : 3
Manchester City U21
24 Apr
Southampton U21
3 : 4
Aston Villa U21
17 Apr
Stoke City U21
0 : 1
Aston Villa U21
10 Apr
Aston Villa U21
0 : 2
Middlesbrough U21
Page 1 of 6