Sport Picks
Match Events
50'
50'
50'
50'
Lovett R.
51'
51'
Harper R.
(Penalty)
AI Match Summary
The National League game between Tamworth and Barrow finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Barrow.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
43%
15%
42%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tamworth
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
42%
/ Low Confidence
- Tamworth carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives Barrow a 42% chance of winning this.
- Regular National League form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and Barrow have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Tamworth Clean Sheet 10%
Barrow Clean Sheet 13%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Tamworth | Barrow |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 28 |
| Wins | 14 | 12 |
| Draws | 6 | 5 |
| Losses | 10 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.83 | 1.46 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.83 | 1.46 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 2.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 10, 2026 National League
Tamworth vs Barrow
1:2
Jul 19, 2025 Club Friendly
Tamworth vs Barrow
0:2
Apr 18, 2015 National League North
Barrow vs Tamworth
4:1
Feb 7, 2015 National League North
Tamworth vs Barrow
1:1
Mar 2, 2013 National League
Barrow vs Tamworth
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Tamworth Compare
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56
Barrow Compare
Top Goalscorer Edwards C.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Tamworth 18 / 100
Barrow 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Tamworth Barrow
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Barrow Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Tamworth scored in 93% of their last 30 outings.
Barrow has conceded goals in 68% of their last 28 outings.
H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.
Tamworth went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Tamworth VS Barrow
1.38 Goals Scored 2
2.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Tamworth
(Home) 06 Oct
Tamworth
1 : 0 Leeds U21
03 Oct
Hartlepool
0 : 1 Tamworth
30 Sept
Tamworth
2 : 0 Sutton
26 Sept
Aldershot
5 : 1 Tamworth
19 Sept
Tamworth
2 : 1 Wealdstone
Page 1 of 6
06 Oct
Tamworth
1 : 0 Leeds U21
30 Sept
Tamworth
2 : 0 Sutton
19 Sept
Tamworth
2 : 1 Wealdstone
09 Sept
Tamworth
1 : 3 Middlesbrough U21
05 Sept
Tamworth
2 : 2 Boston United
Page 1 of 4
Barrow
(Away) 03 Oct
Barrow
2 : 1 Wealdstone
29 Sept
Barrow
3 : 0 Scunthorpe
26 Sept
Southend
2 : 4 Barrow
19 Sept
Barrow
1 : 0 Aldershot
15 Sept
Solihull Moors
1 : 0 Barrow
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Southend
2 : 4 Barrow
15 Sept
Solihull Moors
1 : 0 Barrow
12 Sept
Worthing FC
2 : 2 Barrow
31 Aug
Kidderminster
1 : 1 Barrow
22 Aug
Harrogate
2 : 2 Barrow
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Boreham Wood | 13 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 34:13 | 35 |
| 2 | Harrogate | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 28:17 | 25 |
| 3 | Southend | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 29:18 | 24 |
| 4 | Yeovil | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 26:15 | 22 |
| 5 | Worthing FC | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 22:18 | 21 |
| 6 | Altrincham | 12 | 7 | 0 | 5 | 17:18 | 21 |
| 7 | AFC Fylde | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 22:18 | 20 |
| 8 | Kidderminster | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 15:12 | 19 |
| 9 | Barrow | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 20:15 | 18 |
| 10 | Aldershot | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 17:13 | 18 |
| 11 | Sutton | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 14:18 | 18 |
| 12 | Hornchurch | 12 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 13:19 | 18 |
| 13 | Halifax | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 18:14 | 17 |
| 14 | Carlisle | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 23:20 | 16 |
| 15 | Woking | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 20:19 | 15 |
| 16 | Forest Green | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 17:18 | 15 |
| 17 | Eastleigh | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 14:18 | 15 |
| 18 | Tamworth | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 20:28 | 14 |
| 19 | Wealdstone | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 17:18 | 12 |
| 20 | Boston United | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 14:21 | 12 |
| 21 | Scunthorpe | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 15:19 | 10 |
| 22 | Hartlepool | 12 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 8:17 | 9 |
| 23 | Solihull Moors | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 13:30 | 7 |
| 24 | Gateshead | 12 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 7:27 | 4 |
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