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Tamworth vs Everton U21 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

National League Cup The Lamb Ground, Tamworth
Tue, Nov 3, 2026
VS
07:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The first leg ended 2-1. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Recent numbers: Tamworth at 1.8 goals for, 1.97 against; Everton U21 at 1.67 for, 1.7 against. Past meetings favor Tamworth slightly — 1-0-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Sep 16, 2025, ending 2:1. The numbers (0.81 xG vs 1.38) point toward Tamworth. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Tamworth
15%
Draws
45%
Everton U21
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Everton U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Tamworth lately — more wins on the board than Everton U21.
  • Tamworth are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Tamworth have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Tamworth, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
Tamworth Clean Sheet 17%
Everton U21 Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tamworth Everton U21
Matches Played 30 27
Wins 12 10
Draws 6 6
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 1.8 1.67
Goals Conceded 1.97 1.7
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 16, 2025 National League Cup
Tamworth vs Everton U21
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tamworth 48 / 100
Everton U21 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tamworth Everton U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tamworth Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tamworth's goal record stands at 93% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Everton U21's defensive record shows goals conceded in 81% of 27 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Solid form: Tamworth remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Tamworth VS Everton U21
1.38 Goals Scored 0.63
2.13 Goals Conceded 0.25
88% Over 1.5 25%
75% Over 2.5 13%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Tamworth

(Home)
10 Oct
Tamworth
1 : 2
Barrow
06 Oct
Tamworth
1 : 0
Leeds U21
03 Oct
Hartlepool
0 : 1
Tamworth
30 Sept
Tamworth
2 : 0
Sutton
26 Sept
Aldershot
5 : 1
Tamworth
Page 1 of 6

Everton U21

(Away)
13 Oct
Solihull Moors
1 : 0
Everton U21
23 Sept
Boreham Wood
1 : 2
Everton U21
19 Sept
Reading U21
0 : 0
Everton U21
13 Sept
Brentford U21
0 : 2
Everton U21
08 Sept
Hartlepool
0 : 1
Everton U21
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Halifax 3 3 0 0 13:4 9
2 Scunthorpe 3 3 0 0 8:3 8
3 Wolves U21 3 2 0 1 3:4 5
4 Derby U21 3 1 0 2 7:9 4
5 Wealdstone 2 1 0 1 7:3 3
6 Nottingham U21 2 1 0 1 2:3 2
7 Gateshead 3 0 0 3 2:4 2
8 Stoke City U21 3 0 0 3 2:14 0
Promotion - National League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 West Ham U21 3 3 0 0 9:3 9
2 Norwich U21 3 2 0 1 5:6 5
3 Ipswich U21 3 2 0 1 3:5 5
4 Hornchurch 3 1 0 2 5:3 4
5 Aldershot 3 1 0 2 7:8 4
6 Braintree 3 1 0 2 5:6 4
7 Fulham U21 3 2 0 1 4:5 4
8 Worthing FC 3 0 0 3 2:4 1
Promotion - National League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Middlesbrough U21 3 3 0 0 16:2 9
2 Boreham Wood 3 2 0 1 8:4 7
3 Tamworth 3 2 0 1 7:6 6
4 Solihull Moors 4 2 0 2 6:7 6
5 Everton U21 3 2 0 1 2:2 5
6 Newcastle Utd U21 4 1 0 3 7:10 3
7 Leeds U21 3 1 0 2 5:8 3
8 Hartlepool 3 0 0 3 1:13 0
Promotion - National League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Truro 3 3 0 0 9:2 9
2 Woking 3 2 0 1 6:3 6
3 Sutton 3 2 0 1 4:3 6
4 West Brom U21 3 2 0 1 3:3 5
5 Birmingham U21 3 2 0 1 4:6 5
6 Southampton U21 3 1 0 2 8:11 3
7 Leicester U21 3 0 0 3 3:6 2
8 Boston United 3 0 0 3 7:10 0
Promotion - National League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)