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Tamworth vs Newcastle Utd U21

England England

National League Cup The Lamb Ground, Tamworth
Tamworth Logo

Tamworth

5 - 3
FT
Newcastle Utd U21 Logo

Newcastle Utd U21

Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
McGlinchey T.
Assist: Creaney D.
19' Event
Hutchinson J.
Assist: Dyson O.
24'
Hollis H.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 5-3. This leg finished 5-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Tamworth
20%
Draws
10%
Newcastle Utd U21
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Tamworth

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Tamworth lately — more wins on the board than Newcastle Utd U21.
  • Model gives Tamworth a 70% chance of winning this.
  • Tamworth have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Newcastle Utd U21, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 61.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Tamworth Clean Sheet 16%
Newcastle Utd U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tamworth Newcastle Utd U21
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 11 8
Draws 7 6
Losses 10 15
Goals Scored 1.82 1.28
Goals Conceded 1.82 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 2.08 1.46
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 18, 2026 National League Cup
Tamworth vs Newcastle Utd U21
5:3
Nov 5, 2024 National League Cup
Tamworth vs Newcastle Utd U21
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tamworth Compare

Top Goalscorer Hutchinson J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader McGlinchey T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.6
Avg xA / game 1.04

Newcastle Utd U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Sanusi T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Salia V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.33
Avg xA / game 0.81

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tamworth 84 / 100
Newcastle Utd U21 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tamworth Newcastle Utd U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tamworth Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tamworth's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Defensive concern: Newcastle Utd U21 conceded in 86% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 5.50 goals when they meet.

Tamworth has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Tamworth VS Newcastle Utd U21
1.75 Goals Scored 0.8
2.13 Goals Conceded 2.4
100% Over 1.5 60%
88% Over 2.5 60%
63% Over 3.5 60%

Recent Form & Match History

Tamworth

(Home)
05 Sept
Tamworth
2 : 2
Boston United
31 Aug
Yeovil
3 : 2
Tamworth
28 Aug
Tamworth
3 : 2
Worthing FC
22 Aug
Halifax
4 : 1
Tamworth
18 Aug
Tamworth
5 : 3
Newcastle Utd U21
Page 1 of 6

Newcastle Utd U21

(Away)
31 Aug
Newcastle Utd U21
0 : 4
Fulham U21
24 Aug
Newcastle Utd U21
1 : 3
Tottenham U21
18 Aug
Tamworth
5 : 3
Newcastle Utd U21
27 Apr
Swansea U21
2 : 0
Newcastle Utd U21
13 Apr
Newcastle Utd U21
1 : 1
Wolves U21
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Halifax 1 1 0 0 6:2 3
2 Scunthorpe 1 1 0 0 4:0 3
3 Wolves U21 1 1 0 0 3:1 3
4 Nottingham U21 1 1 0 0 1:1 2
5 Gateshead 1 0 0 1 1:1 1
6 Wealdstone 1 0 0 1 1:3 0
7 Derby U21 1 0 0 1 2:6 0
8 Stoke City U21 1 0 0 1 0:4 0
Promotion - National League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Norwich U21 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
2 West Ham U21 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
3 Fulham U21 1 1 0 0 2:2 2
4 Ipswich U21 1 1 0 0 1:1 2
5 Aldershot 1 0 0 1 2:2 1
6 Braintree 1 0 0 1 1:1 1
7 Hornchurch 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
8 Worthing FC 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
Promotion - National League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Middlesbrough U21 2 2 0 0 13:1 6
2 Boreham Wood 1 1 0 0 5:2 3
3 Tamworth 1 1 0 0 5:3 3
4 Everton U21 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
5 Newcastle Utd U21 1 0 0 1 3:5 0
6 Solihull Moors 1 0 0 1 1:3 0
7 Leeds U21 1 0 0 1 2:5 0
8 Hartlepool 1 0 0 1 0:10 0
Promotion - National League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Birmingham U21 1 1 0 0 3:2 3
2 Truro 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
3 Sutton 1 1 0 0 0:0 2
4 West Brom U21 1 1 0 0 0:0 2
5 Woking 1 0 0 1 0:0 1
6 Leicester U21 1 0 0 1 0:0 1
7 Boston United 1 0 0 1 2:3 0
8 Southampton U21 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
Promotion - National League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)