Sport Picks
Tamworth vs Newcastle Utd U21 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
England
National League Cup The Lamb Ground, Tamworth 
Match Events
15'
15'
McGlinchey T.
Assist: Creaney D.
19'
19'
Hutchinson J.
Assist: Dyson O.
24'
24'
Hollis H.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 5-3. This leg finished 5-3.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
43%
15%
42%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tamworth
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
15%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Tamworth lately — more wins on the board than Newcastle Utd U21.
- Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
- Tamworth have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Newcastle Utd U21, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
Tamworth Clean Sheet 13%
Newcastle Utd U21 Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Tamworth | Newcastle Utd U21 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 12 | 8 |
| Draws | 5 | 4 |
| Losses | 11 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 1.96 | 1.32 |
| Goals Conceded | 2 | 1.96 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 18, 2026 National League Cup
Tamworth vs Newcastle Utd U21
5:3
Nov 5, 2024 National League Cup
Tamworth vs Newcastle Utd U21
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Tamworth Compare
Top Goalscorer Hutchinson J.
2 Goals Assists Leader McGlinchey T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66
Newcastle Utd U21 Compare
Top Goalscorer Sanusi T.
1 Goals Assists Leader Salia V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Tamworth 31 / 100
Newcastle Utd U21 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Tamworth Newcastle Utd U21
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Tamworth's goal record stands at 96% scoring rate across 28 recent games.
Defensive concern: Newcastle Utd U21 conceded in 93% of 28 recent games.
These sides typically produce 5.50 goals when they meet.
Tamworth has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Tamworth VS Newcastle Utd U21
1.25 Goals Scored 1.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Tamworth
(Home) 27 Oct
Tamworth
4 : 1 Scunthorpe
17 Oct
Carlisle
2 : 1 Tamworth
10 Oct
Tamworth
1 : 2 Barrow
06 Oct
Tamworth
1 : 0 Leeds U21
03 Oct
Hartlepool
0 : 1 Tamworth
Page 1 of 6
27 Oct
Tamworth
4 : 1 Scunthorpe
10 Oct
Tamworth
1 : 2 Barrow
06 Oct
Tamworth
1 : 0 Leeds U21
30 Sept
Tamworth
2 : 0 Sutton
19 Sept
Tamworth
2 : 1 Wealdstone
Page 1 of 3
Newcastle Utd U21
(Away) 26 Oct
Newcastle Utd U21
3 : 2 Sunderland U21
13 Oct
Hartlepool
1 : 2 Newcastle Utd U21
09 Oct
Newcastle Utd U21
4 : 1 Luton U21
06 Oct
Solihull Moors
2 : 1 Newcastle Utd U21
22 Sept
Bradford City
2 : 1 Newcastle Utd U21
Page 1 of 6
13 Oct
Hartlepool
1 : 2 Newcastle Utd U21
06 Oct
Solihull Moors
2 : 1 Newcastle Utd U21
22 Sept
Bradford City
2 : 1 Newcastle Utd U21
19 Sept
Leeds U21
2 : 0 Newcastle Utd U21
15 Sept
York City
1 : 3 Newcastle Utd U21
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Halifax | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 13:4 | 9 |
| 2 | Scunthorpe | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8:3 | 8 |
| 3 | Wealdstone | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8:3 | 6 |
| 4 | Wolves U21 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3:4 | 5 |
| 5 | Derby U21 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7:9 | 4 |
| 6 | Gateshead | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:4 | 2 |
| 7 | Nottingham U21 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:4 | 2 |
| 8 | Stoke City U21 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:14 | 0 |
Promotion - National League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | West Ham U21 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9:3 | 9 |
| 2 | Norwich U21 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:6 | 5 |
| 3 | Ipswich U21 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3:5 | 5 |
| 4 | Hornchurch | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5:3 | 4 |
| 5 | Aldershot | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7:8 | 4 |
| 6 | Braintree | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5:6 | 4 |
| 7 | Fulham U21 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:5 | 4 |
| 8 | Worthing FC | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:4 | 1 |
Promotion - National League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Boreham Wood | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 15:5 | 10 |
| 2 | Middlesbrough U21 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 17:9 | 9 |
| 3 | Tamworth | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7:6 | 6 |
| 4 | Solihull Moors | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6:7 | 6 |
| 5 | Everton U21 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 5 |
| 6 | Newcastle Utd U21 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7:10 | 3 |
| 7 | Leeds U21 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5:8 | 3 |
| 8 | Hartlepool | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:13 | 0 |
Promotion - National League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Truro | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9:2 | 9 |
| 2 | Woking | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6:3 | 6 |
| 3 | Sutton | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:3 | 6 |
| 4 | West Brom U21 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3:3 | 5 |
| 5 | Birmingham U21 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:6 | 5 |
| 6 | Southampton U21 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8:11 | 3 |
| 7 | Leicester U21 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3:6 | 2 |
| 8 | Boston United | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7:10 | 0 |
Promotion - National League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
