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Tamworth vs Scunthorpe - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

National League The Lamb Ground, Tamworth
Tue, Oct 27, 2026
VS
07:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Tamworth host Scunthorpe in the National League. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Tamworth have averaged 1.83 scored and 1.93 conceded recently, against Scunthorpe's 1.56 scored and 1.37 conceded. Past meetings favor Scunthorpe slightly — 1-3-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Dec 6, 2025, ending 3:1. xG projections (1.25 - 1.50) back Tamworth to edge this. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Tamworth
15%
Draws
21%
Scunthorpe
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tamworth

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Tamworth carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Scunthorpe here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Tamworth Clean Sheet 16%
Scunthorpe Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tamworth Scunthorpe
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 12 10
Draws 6 5
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 1.83 1.56
Goals Conceded 1.93 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 6, 2025 National League
Scunthorpe vs Tamworth
3:1
Aug 9, 2025 National League
Tamworth vs Scunthorpe
1:2
Jan 30, 2024 National League North
Scunthorpe vs Tamworth
0:1
Aug 5, 2023 National League North
Tamworth vs Scunthorpe
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tamworth 30 / 100
Scunthorpe 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tamworth Scunthorpe

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tamworth Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Tamworth scored in 93% of their last 29 outings.

Scunthorpe has conceded goals in 78% of their last 27 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.75 goals when they meet.

Tamworth went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tamworth VS Scunthorpe
1.25 Goals Scored 1.13
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Tamworth

(Home)
10 Oct
Tamworth
1 : 2
Barrow
06 Oct
Tamworth
1 : 0
Leeds U21
03 Oct
Hartlepool
0 : 1
Tamworth
30 Sept
Tamworth
2 : 0
Sutton
26 Sept
Aldershot
5 : 1
Tamworth
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Scunthorpe

(Away)
10 Oct
AFC Fylde
2 : 0
Scunthorpe
29 Sept
Barrow
3 : 0
Scunthorpe
26 Sept
Scunthorpe
4 : 1
Hartlepool
19 Sept
Hornchurch
1 : 0
Scunthorpe
16 Sept
Scunthorpe
1 : 2
Boreham Wood
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Boreham Wood 13 11 2 0 34:13 35
2 Harrogate 13 9 1 3 29:17 28
3 Southend 13 8 3 2 31:19 27
4 Yeovil 13 7 4 2 32:15 25
5 Worthing FC 13 7 3 3 27:18 24
6 Altrincham 13 8 0 5 20:19 24
7 AFC Fylde 13 7 2 4 24:18 23
8 Barrow 13 6 3 4 22:16 21
9 Hornchurch 13 7 0 6 15:19 21
10 Halifax 13 6 2 5 22:15 20
11 Kidderminster 13 5 5 3 15:12 20
12 Aldershot 13 5 3 5 18:16 18
13 Sutton 13 5 3 5 14:18 18
14 Carlisle 13 4 5 4 23:20 17
15 Woking 13 4 3 6 20:20 15
16 Forest Green 12 4 3 5 19:22 15
17 Eastleigh 13 4 3 6 14:20 15
18 Tamworth 13 4 2 7 21:30 14
19 Wealdstone 13 3 3 7 17:24 12
20 Hartlepool 13 4 0 9 12:19 12
21 Boston United 13 3 3 7 15:23 12
22 Scunthorpe 12 3 1 8 15:21 10
23 Solihull Moors 13 2 1 10 13:35 7
24 Gateshead 13 1 1 11 8:31 4
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