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Tanabi vs Nacional SP Prediction & H2H Stats

Brazil Brazil

Paulista A4
Our Tip

Match Events

40' Event
Jose Moura do Vale T.
86' Event
Foguinho

AI Match Summary

The Paulista A4 game between Tanabi and Nacional SP finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tanabi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Tanabi
30%
Draws
54%
Nacional SP
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Nacional SP

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Nacional SP haven't matched Tanabi's recent run of results.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Tanabi taking it.
  • Regular Paulista A4 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Tanabi Clean Sheet 68%
Nacional SP Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tanabi Nacional SP
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 15 8
Draws 9 8
Losses 6 14
Goals Scored 1.33 0.83
Goals Conceded 0.53 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 28, 2026 Paulista A4
Tanabi vs Nacional SP
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tanabi Compare

Top Goalscorer Jose Moura do Vale T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Foguinho
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Nacional SP Compare

Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tanabi 46 / 100
Nacional SP 44 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tanabi Nacional SP

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tanabi found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Nacional SP's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Tanabi has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Tanabi VS Nacional SP
1 Goals Scored 0.88
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.88
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Tanabi

(Home)
04 Apr
Comercial
2 : 1
Tanabi
28 Mar
Tanabi
0 : 0
Colorado Caieiras
25 Mar
Taquaritinga
2 : 1
Tanabi
21 Mar
Inter de Bebedouro
0 : 0
Tanabi
18 Mar
Tanabi
1 : 2
Sao Caetano
Page 1 of 6

Nacional SP

(Away)
04 Apr
Nacional SP
0 : 1
Inter de Bebedouro
28 Mar
Barretos EC
1 : 0
Nacional SP
25 Mar
Nacional SP
0 : 0
ECUS SP
21 Mar
Nacional SP
4 : 1
Colorado Caieiras
18 Mar
AEA Aracatuba
2 : 3
Nacional SP
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Inter de Bebedouro 15 10 3 2 21:6 33
2 Sao Caetano 15 9 2 4 23:14 29
3 Penapolense 15 8 5 2 22:10 29
4 Sao-Carlense 15 7 5 3 20:13 26
5 Barretos EC 15 7 5 3 12:10 26
6 Taquaritinga 15 7 3 5 20:13 24
7 Jacarei FC 15 6 5 4 11:9 23
8 Lemense 15 6 4 5 14:12 22
9 ECUS SP 15 5 7 3 11:6 22
10 Comercial 15 6 2 7 17:16 20
11 Tanabi 15 4 6 5 12:10 18
12 Jabaquara 15 4 4 7 14:17 16
13 Vocem 15 3 6 6 12:13 15
14 Colorado Caieiras 15 1 7 7 6:20 10
15 Nacional SP 15 2 2 11 7:22 8
16 AEA Aracatuba 15 1 2 12 6:37 5
Promotion - Paulista A4 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Paulista B (Main)