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Tanabi vs Penapolense

Brazil Brazil

Paulista A4
Our Tip

Match Events

66' Event
Cleberson
89' Event
Luan Carioca
90' Event
Romarinho
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Penapolense in this Paulista A4 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Penapolense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Tanabi
44%
Draws
20%
Penapolense
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Penapolense haven't matched Tanabi's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Penapolense have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 60%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Tanabi Clean Sheet 19%
Penapolense Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tanabi Penapolense
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 15 13
Draws 9 13
Losses 6 5
Goals Scored 0.71 1.63
Goals Conceded 0.86 0.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.71 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.86 0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 11, 2026 Paulista A4
Tanabi vs Penapolense
1:2
Jun 24, 2023 Paulista A4
Penapolense vs Tanabi
5:1
May 20, 2023 Paulista A4
Tanabi vs Penapolense
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tanabi Compare

Avg xG / game 0.55
Avg xA / game 0.35

Penapolense Compare

Top Goalscorer Cleberson
1 Goals
Assists Leader Luan Carioca
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tanabi 36 / 100
Penapolense 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tanabi Penapolense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PEN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.33 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Tanabi scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Penapolense has conceded goals in 65% of their last 31 outings.

Tanabi went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tanabi VS Penapolense
0.71 Goals Scored 1.63
0.86 Goals Conceded 0.5
57% Over 1.5 63%
43% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Tanabi

(Home)
04 Apr
Comercial
2 : 1
Tanabi
28 Mar
Tanabi
0 : 0
Colorado Caieiras
25 Mar
Taquaritinga
2 : 1
Tanabi
21 Mar
Inter de Bebedouro
0 : 0
Tanabi
18 Mar
Tanabi
1 : 2
Sao Caetano
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Penapolense

(Away)
09 May
Inter de Bebedouro
1 : 1
Penapolense
06 May
Penapolense
2 : 1
Inter de Bebedouro
02 May
Sao Caetano
2 : 2
Penapolense
25 Apr
Penapolense
2 : 1
Sao Caetano
18 Apr
Penapolense
2 : 2
Taquaritinga
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Inter de Bebedouro15103221:633
2Sao Caetano1592423:1429
3Penapolense1585222:1029
4Sao-Carlense1575320:1326
5Barretos EC1575312:1026
6Taquaritinga1573520:1324
7Jacarei FC1565411:923
8Lemense1564514:1222
9ECUS SP1557311:622
10Comercial1562717:1620
11Tanabi1546512:1018
12Jabaquara1544714:1716
13Vocem1536612:1315
14Colorado Caieiras151776:2010
15Nacional SP1522117:228
16AEA Aracatuba1512126:375
Promotion - Paulista A4 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Paulista B (Main)