Sport Picks
Tanzania Prisons vs Coastal Union Prediction & H2H Stats
Tanzania
Ligi Kuu Bara 2025/2026 Sokoine Stadium, Mbeya 
Match Events
2'
2'
Bakari K.
42'
42'
Kichuya S.
Assist: Bakari K.
45'
45'
Mpole G.
AI Match Summary
The Ligi Kuu Bara 2025/2026 game between Tanzania Prisons and Coastal Union finished 1-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Coastal Union.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
20%
40%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
20%
/ Low Confidence
- Tanzania Prisons haven't matched Coastal Union's recent run of results.
- 36% — that's where the model lands on Tanzania Prisons taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Tanzania Prisons Clean Sheet 68%
Coastal Union Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Tanzania Prisons | Coastal Union |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 8 | 11 |
| Draws | 6 | 8 |
| Losses | 16 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 0.7 | 1.17 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.47 | 1.33 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 10, 2026 Ligi Kuu Bara
Tanzania Prisons vs Coastal Union
1:4
Sep 17, 2025 Ligi Kuu Bara
Coastal Union vs Tanzania Prisons
1:0
May 12, 2025 Ligi Kuu Bara
Tanzania Prisons vs Coastal Union
2:1
Dec 2, 2024 Ligi Kuu Bara
Coastal Union vs Tanzania Prisons
2:1
May 6, 2024 Ligi Kuu Bara
Coastal Union vs Tanzania Prisons
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Tanzania Prisons Compare
Top Goalscorer Mpole G.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66
Coastal Union Compare
Top Goalscorer Bakari K.
2 Goals Assists Leader Kichuya S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Tanzania Prisons 46 / 100
Coastal Union 44 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Tanzania Prisons Coastal Union
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Coastal Union let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.
Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.
Recent resilience: Tanzania Prisons stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Tanzania Prisons found the back of the net in 47% of recent matches (30 games).
Scoring Trends
Tanzania Prisons VS Coastal Union
0.75 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.88
50% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Tanzania Prisons
(Home) 16 Jul
Tanzania Prisons
1 : 0 Polisi Tanzania
12 Jul
Polisi Tanzania
4 : 0 Tanzania Prisons
08 Jul
Tanzania Prisons
0 : 0 Mbeya City
05 Jul
Mbeya City
2 : 0 Tanzania Prisons
30 Jun
Mashujaa
0 : 1 Tanzania Prisons
Page 1 of 6
16 Jul
Tanzania Prisons
1 : 0 Polisi Tanzania
08 Jul
Tanzania Prisons
0 : 0 Mbeya City
27 Jun
Tanzania Prisons
2 : 1 Mtibwa Sugar
14 Jun
Tanzania Prisons
3 : 1 Dodoma Jiji
14 May
Tanzania Prisons
1 : 0 Fountain Gate
Page 1 of 4
Coastal Union
(Away) 12 Sept
Coastal Union
2 : 1 JKT Tanzania
06 Sept
Polisi Tanzania
1 : 2 Coastal Union
27 Aug
Simba
1 : 0 Coastal Union
24 Aug
Coastal Union
1 : 1 TRA United
20 Aug
Young Africans
4 : 1 Coastal Union
Page 1 of 6
06 Sept
Polisi Tanzania
1 : 2 Coastal Union
27 Aug
Simba
1 : 0 Coastal Union
20 Aug
Young Africans
4 : 1 Coastal Union
24 Jun
TRA United
1 : 1 Coastal Union
20 Jun
Simba
4 : 0 Coastal Union
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Young Africans | 30 | 23 | 6 | 1 | 71:9 | 75 |
| 2 | Simba | 30 | 22 | 7 | 1 | 54:11 | 73 |
| 3 | Azam | 30 | 18 | 10 | 2 | 46:12 | 64 |
| 4 | Singida Black Stars | 30 | 15 | 5 | 10 | 47:35 | 50 |
| 5 | TRA United | 30 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 33:28 | 43 |
| 6 | JKT Tanzania | 30 | 10 | 12 | 8 | 30:33 | 42 |
| 7 | Pamba | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 32:35 | 36 |
| 8 | Coastal Union | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 31:37 | 36 |
| 9 | Dodoma Jiji | 30 | 8 | 11 | 11 | 25:36 | 35 |
| 10 | Namungo | 30 | 7 | 13 | 10 | 25:32 | 34 |
| 11 | Mashujaa | 30 | 7 | 12 | 11 | 15:27 | 33 |
| 12 | Fountain Gate | 30 | 9 | 6 | 15 | 25:44 | 33 |
| 13 | Tanzania Prisons | 30 | 9 | 5 | 16 | 23:41 | 32 |
| 14 | Mbeya City | 30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 24:41 | 30 |
| 15 | Mtibwa Sugar | 30 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 25:48 | 27 |
| 16 | Kinondoni MC | 30 | 2 | 3 | 25 | 16:53 | 9 |
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligi Kuu Bara 2025/2026 (Relegation)
