Sport Picks

Tanzania

Ligi Kuu Bara Sokoine Stadium

Coastal Union

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Tanzania Prisons play Coastal Union in the Ligi Kuu Bara. It looks like a close match. Recently, Tanzania Prisons averaged 0.79 goals scored and 1.41 conceded. Coastal Union averaged 1.07 goals scored and 1.23 conceded. In past meetings, Tanzania Prisons won 1, Coastal Union won 3, and they drew 1. Their last match on Feb 10, 2026 ended 1:4. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.31 for Tanzania Prisons and 1.19 for Coastal Union. This points to a Coastal Union double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%

Tanzania Prisons

23%

Draws

42%

Coastal Union

Draw rate projection: 23% Favored: Coastal Union

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

72% / Medium Confidence

Tanzania Prisons picked up more points recently compared to Coastal Union.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.31 vs 1.19 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 67%

Over 2.5 Goals 42%

Over 3.5 Goals 25%

Over 4.5 Goals 13%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 44%

Tanzania Prisons Clean Sheet 20%

Coastal Union Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 60%

Second Half Goal 64%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Tanzania Prisons	Coastal Union
Matches Played	29	30
Wins	9	10
Draws	5	9
Losses	15	11
Goals Scored	0.79	1.07
Goals Conceded	1.41	1.23
Expected Goals (xG)	1.50	1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.13	1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 10, 2026 Ligi Kuu Bara

Tanzania Prisons vs Coastal Union

Possession: 43% - 46% Cards: 1 - 4

1:4

Sep 17, 2025 Ligi Kuu Bara

Coastal Union vs Tanzania Prisons

Possession: 45% - 58% Cards: 3 - 2

1:0

May 12, 2025 Ligi Kuu Bara

Tanzania Prisons vs Coastal Union

Possession: 42% - 58% Cards: 2 - 2

2:1

Dec 2, 2024 Ligi Kuu Bara

Coastal Union vs Tanzania Prisons

Possession: 43% - 48% Cards: 1 - 3

2:1

May 6, 2024 Ligi Kuu Bara

Coastal Union vs Tanzania Prisons

Possession: 46% - 58% Cards: 0 - 2

0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tanzania Prisons Compare

Top Goalscorer Mpole G.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.15

Avg xA / game 0.75

Coastal Union Compare

Top Goalscorer Bakari K.

2 Goals

Assists Leader Kichuya S.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.14

Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tanzania Prisons 36 / 100

Coastal Union 40 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Tanzania Prisons Coastal Union

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Coastal Union or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +29.5%

3.70

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +16.8%

2.78

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Tanzania Prisons attacking → ← attacking Coastal Union

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tanzania Prisons scored in 52% of their last 29 games.

Coastal Union let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Tanzania Prisons went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Coastal Union lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

32 Points in last 5 39

1.50 Goals expected (xG) 1.25

1.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.13

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Young Africans	30	23	6	1	71:9	75
2	Simba	30	22	7	1	54:11	73
3	Azam	30	18	10	2	46:12	64
4	Singida Black Stars	30	15	5	10	47:35	50
5	TRA United	30	11	10	9	33:28	43
6	JKT Tanzania	30	10	12	8	30:33	42
7	Pamba	30	9	9	12	32:35	36
8	Coastal Union	30	9	9	12	31:37	36
9	Dodoma Jiji	30	8	11	11	25:36	35
10	Namungo	30	7	13	10	25:32	34
11	Mashujaa	30	7	12	11	15:27	33
12	Fountain Gate	30	9	6	15	25:44	33
13	Tanzania Prisons	30	9	5	16	23:41	32
14	Mbeya City	30	7	9	14	24:41	30
15	Mtibwa Sugar	30	6	9	15	25:48	27
16	Kinondoni MC	30	2	3	25	16:53	9