Sport Picks
Match Events
90'
90'
John J.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Ligi Kuu Bara 2019/2020 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
33%
20%
47%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Mbao
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Mbao lately — more wins on the board than Tanzania Prisons.
- 47% — that's where the model lands on Mbao taking it.
- Regular Ligi Kuu Bara 2019/2020 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24%
Tanzania Prisons Clean Sheet 16%
Mbao Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Tanzania Prisons | Mbao |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 30 |
| Wins | 8 | 11 |
| Draws | 7 | 4 |
| Losses | 16 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 0.68 | 0.97 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.42 | 1.27 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.79 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 17, 2020 Ligi Kuu Bara
Tanzania Prisons vs Mbao
0:0
Oct 31, 2019 Ligi Kuu Bara
Mbao vs Tanzania Prisons
1:1
Feb 6, 2019 Ligi Kuu Bara
Tanzania Prisons vs Mbao
2:1
Sep 24, 2018 Ligi Kuu Bara
Mbao vs Tanzania Prisons
1:0
Mar 4, 2018 Ligi Kuu Bara
Tanzania Prisons vs Mbao
1:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Tanzania Prisons 11 / 100
Mbao 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Tanzania Prisons Mbao
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Mbao Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Mbao has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.
Tanzania Prisons went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Tanzania Prisons's goal record stands at 45% scoring rate across 31 recent games.
These sides typically produce 1.40 goals when they meet.
Scoring Trends
Tanzania Prisons VS -
0.38 Goals Scored 0
2 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Tanzania Prisons
(Home) 16 Jul
Tanzania Prisons
1 : 0 Polisi Tanzania
12 Jul
Polisi Tanzania
4 : 0 Tanzania Prisons
08 Jul
Tanzania Prisons
0 : 0 Mbeya City
05 Jul
Mbeya City
2 : 0 Tanzania Prisons
30 Jun
Mashujaa
0 : 1 Tanzania Prisons
Page 1 of 7
16 Jul
Tanzania Prisons
1 : 0 Polisi Tanzania
08 Jul
Tanzania Prisons
0 : 0 Mbeya City
27 Jun
Tanzania Prisons
2 : 1 Mtibwa Sugar
14 Jun
Tanzania Prisons
3 : 1 Dodoma Jiji
14 May
Tanzania Prisons
1 : 0 Fountain Gate
Page 1 of 4
Mbao
(Away) 01 Aug
Mbao
4 : 2 Singida Black Stars
29 Jul
Singida Black Stars
2 : 0 Mbao
26 Jul
Mbao
2 : 0 Ndanda
22 Jul
Mbao
3 : 0 Namungo
19 Jul
JKT Tanzania
1 : 1 Mbao
Page 1 of 6
29 Jul
Singida Black Stars
2 : 0 Mbao
19 Jul
JKT Tanzania
1 : 1 Mbao
16 Jul
Simba
2 : 3 Mbao
14 Jun
Azam
2 : 0 Mbao
17 Mar
Tanzania Prisons
0 : 0 Mbao
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Simba | 38 | 27 | 7 | 4 | 78:21 | 88 |
| 2 | Young Africans | 38 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 45:28 | 72 |
| 3 | Azam | 38 | 20 | 10 | 8 | 52:26 | 70 |
| 4 | Namungo | 38 | 17 | 13 | 8 | 46:37 | 64 |
| 5 | Polisi Tanzania | 38 | 15 | 10 | 13 | 37:35 | 55 |
| 6 | JKT Tanzania | 38 | 13 | 15 | 10 | 34:32 | 54 |
| 7 | Coastal Union | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 33:30 | 53 |
| 8 | Kagera Sugar | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 44:41 | 52 |
| 9 | Biashara Mara United | 38 | 12 | 14 | 12 | 29:27 | 50 |
| 10 | Tanzania Prisons | 38 | 10 | 19 | 9 | 35:30 | 49 |
| 11 | Mwadui | 38 | 12 | 11 | 15 | 39:45 | 47 |
| 12 | Ruvu Shooting | 38 | 12 | 11 | 15 | 34:42 | 47 |
| 13 | Kinondoni MC | 38 | 13 | 7 | 18 | 35:47 | 46 |
| 14 | Mtibwa Sugar | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 30:34 | 45 |
| 15 | Mbeya City | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 33:42 | 45 |
| 16 | Mbao | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 33:43 | 45 |
| 17 | Alliance | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 36:48 | 45 |
| 18 | Lipuli | 38 | 12 | 8 | 18 | 43:51 | 44 |
| 19 | Ndanda | 38 | 9 | 14 | 15 | 28:35 | 41 |
| 20 | Singida United | 38 | 4 | 6 | 28 | 23:73 | 18 |
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2020/2021 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2020/2021 (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligi Kuu Bara 2019/2020 (Relegation)
