Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Tanzania Prisons vs TRA United

Tanzania Tanzania

Ligi Kuu Bara Sokoine Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Salum R.
36'
Sub
Mpole G. In: Mbangula S.
Out: Mpole G.
61'
Sub
Sabiyanka L. In: Lunkombi G.
Out: Sabiyanka L.

AI Match Summary

The Ligi Kuu Bara game between Tanzania Prisons and TRA United finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward TRA United.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Tanzania Prisons
20%
Draws
38%
TRA United
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Tanzania Prisons

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and TRA United come out ahead of Tanzania Prisons on wins alone.
  • Tanzania Prisons are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Regular Ligi Kuu Bara form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.6%
Tanzania Prisons Clean Sheet 20%
TRA United Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tanzania Prisons TRA United
Matches Played 32 31
Wins 10 12
Draws 6 9
Losses 16 10
Goals Scored 1.5 0.63
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 1, 2026 Ligi Kuu Bara
Tanzania Prisons vs TRA United
0:3
Nov 22, 2025 Ligi Kuu Bara
TRA United vs Tanzania Prisons
1:0
Feb 21, 2025 Ligi Kuu Bara
Tanzania Prisons vs TRA United
1:1
Sep 14, 2024 Ligi Kuu Bara
TRA United vs Tanzania Prisons
0:0
Feb 28, 2024 Ligi Kuu Bara
Tanzania Prisons vs TRA United
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tanzania Prisons Compare

Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

TRA United Compare

Top Goalscorer Salum R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Akandwanaho J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tanzania Prisons 42 / 100
TRA United 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tanzania Prisons TRA United

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Tanzania Prisons remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Tanzania Prisons scored in 50% of their last 32 games.

Defensive concern: TRA United conceded in 58% of 31 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Tanzania Prisons VS TRA United
1.5 Goals Scored 0.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Young Africans30236171:975
2Simba30227154:1173
3Azam301810246:1264
4Singida Black Stars301551047:3550
5TRA United301110933:2843
6JKT Tanzania301012830:3342
7Pamba30991232:3536
8Coastal Union30991231:3736
9Dodoma Jiji308111125:3635
10Namungo307131025:3234
11Mashujaa307121115:2733
12Fountain Gate30961525:4433
13Tanzania Prisons30951623:4132
14Mbeya City30791424:4130
15Mtibwa Sugar30691525:4827
16Kinondoni MC30232516:539