Sport Picks
Tanzania Prisons vs TRA United
Tanzania
Ligi Kuu Bara 2025/2026 Sokoine Stadium, Mbeya 
Match Events
2'
2'
Salum R.
36'
36'
Sub
Mpole G. In: Mbangula S.
Out: Mpole G.
61'
61'
Sub
Sabiyanka L. In: Lunkombi G.
Out: Sabiyanka L.
AI Match Summary
The Ligi Kuu Bara 2025/2026 game between Tanzania Prisons and TRA United finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward TRA United.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
41%
30%
29%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Tanzania Prisons
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
29%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and TRA United come out ahead of Tanzania Prisons on wins alone.
- 29% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Regular Ligi Kuu Bara 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.6%
Tanzania Prisons Clean Sheet 25%
TRA United Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Tanzania Prisons | TRA United |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 31 |
| Wins | 9 | 12 |
| Draws | 6 | 9 |
| Losses | 16 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 0.71 | 1.13 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.42 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.94 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 1, 2026 Ligi Kuu Bara
Tanzania Prisons vs TRA United
0:3
Nov 22, 2025 Ligi Kuu Bara
TRA United vs Tanzania Prisons
1:0
Feb 21, 2025 Ligi Kuu Bara
Tanzania Prisons vs TRA United
1:1
Sep 14, 2024 Ligi Kuu Bara
TRA United vs Tanzania Prisons
0:0
Feb 28, 2024 Ligi Kuu Bara
Tanzania Prisons vs TRA United
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Tanzania Prisons Compare
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47
TRA United Compare
Top Goalscorer Salum R.
1 Goals Assists Leader Akandwanaho J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Tanzania Prisons 33 / 100
TRA United 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Tanzania Prisons TRA United
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick TRA United Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.
Solid form: Tanzania Prisons remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Tanzania Prisons scored in 48% of their last 31 games.
Defensive concern: TRA United conceded in 58% of 31 recent games.
Scoring Trends
Tanzania Prisons VS TRA United
0.75 Goals Scored 0.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Tanzania Prisons
(Home) 16 Jul
Tanzania Prisons
1 : 0 Polisi Tanzania
12 Jul
Polisi Tanzania
4 : 0 Tanzania Prisons
08 Jul
Tanzania Prisons
0 : 0 Mbeya City
05 Jul
Mbeya City
2 : 0 Tanzania Prisons
30 Jun
Mashujaa
0 : 1 Tanzania Prisons
Page 1 of 7
16 Jul
Tanzania Prisons
1 : 0 Polisi Tanzania
08 Jul
Tanzania Prisons
0 : 0 Mbeya City
27 Jun
Tanzania Prisons
2 : 1 Mtibwa Sugar
14 Jun
Tanzania Prisons
3 : 1 Dodoma Jiji
14 May
Tanzania Prisons
1 : 0 Fountain Gate
Page 1 of 4
TRA United
(Away) 13 Sept
Pamba
1 : 3 TRA United
04 Sept
TRA United
0 : 0 Mbeya City
29 Aug
TRA United
0 : 1 Dodoma Jiji
24 Aug
Coastal Union
1 : 1 TRA United
20 Aug
Azam
2 : 1 TRA United
Page 1 of 7
13 Sept
Pamba
1 : 3 TRA United
24 Aug
Coastal Union
1 : 1 TRA United
20 Aug
Azam
2 : 1 TRA United
16 Aug
JKT Tanzania
1 : 1 TRA United
30 Jun
Mbeya City
0 : 0 TRA United
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Young Africans | 30 | 23 | 6 | 1 | 71:9 | 75 |
| 2 | Simba | 30 | 22 | 7 | 1 | 54:11 | 73 |
| 3 | Azam | 30 | 18 | 10 | 2 | 46:12 | 64 |
| 4 | Singida Black Stars | 30 | 15 | 5 | 10 | 47:35 | 50 |
| 5 | TRA United | 30 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 33:28 | 43 |
| 6 | JKT Tanzania | 30 | 10 | 12 | 8 | 30:33 | 42 |
| 7 | Pamba | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 32:35 | 36 |
| 8 | Coastal Union | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 31:37 | 36 |
| 9 | Dodoma Jiji | 30 | 8 | 11 | 11 | 25:36 | 35 |
| 10 | Namungo | 30 | 7 | 13 | 10 | 25:32 | 34 |
| 11 | Mashujaa | 30 | 7 | 12 | 11 | 15:27 | 33 |
| 12 | Fountain Gate | 30 | 9 | 6 | 15 | 25:44 | 33 |
| 13 | Tanzania Prisons | 30 | 9 | 5 | 16 | 23:41 | 32 |
| 14 | Mbeya City | 30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 24:41 | 30 |
| 15 | Mtibwa Sugar | 30 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 25:48 | 27 |
| 16 | Kinondoni MC | 30 | 2 | 3 | 25 | 16:53 | 9 |
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligi Kuu Bara 2025/2026 (Relegation)
