Sport Picks
Tanzania U23 vs Kenya U23 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Africa
Africa Cup of Nations U23 
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 3-1. This leg finished 3-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
36%
20%
44%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Kenya U23
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
44%
/ Low Confidence
- Tanzania U23 have won more games recently than Kenya U23.
- Kenya U23 are the model's pick here, at 60%.
- Tanzania U23 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Tanzania U23, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Tanzania U23 Clean Sheet 22%
Kenya U23 Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Tanzania U23 | Kenya U23 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 10 | 9 |
| Wins | 4 | 3 |
| Draws | 4 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 4 |
| Goals Scored | 1.2 | 1.22 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.2 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.88 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 6, 2026 Africa Cup of Nations U23
Tanzania U23 vs Kenya U23
3:1
Sep 28, 2026 Africa Cup of Nations U23
Kenya U23 vs Tanzania U23
4:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Tanzania U23 21 / 100
Kenya U23 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Tanzania U23 Kenya U23
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Kenya U23 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Tanzania U23 scored in 80% of their last 10 games.
H2H data points to 4.50 goals as a typical output.
Kenya U23 has conceded goals in 67% of their last 9 outings.
Recent resilience: Tanzania U23 stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Tanzania U23 VS Kenya U23
1 Goals Scored 1.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.75
50% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Tanzania U23
(Home) 06 Oct
Tanzania U23
3 : 1 Kenya U23
28 Sept
Kenya U23
4 : 1 Tanzania U23
29 Oct
Nigeria U23
2 : 0 Tanzania U23
22 Oct
Tanzania U23
1 : 1 Nigeria U23
26 Sept
South Sudan U23
3 : 3 Tanzania U23
Page 1 of 2
06 Oct
Tanzania U23
3 : 1 Kenya U23
22 Oct
Tanzania U23
1 : 1 Nigeria U23
23 Sept
Tanzania U23
0 : 0 South Sudan U23
30 Jul
Tanzania U23
1 : 0 Burundi U23
27 Jul
Tanzania U23
1 : 0 South Sudan U23
Page 1 of 2
Kenya U23
(Away) 06 Oct
Tanzania U23
3 : 1 Kenya U23
28 Sept
Kenya U23
4 : 1 Tanzania U23
29 Jul
South Sudan U23
1 : 0 Kenya U23
27 Jul
Burundi U23
1 : 0 Kenya U23
21 Jul
South Sudan U23
0 : 2 Kenya U23
Page 1 of 2
06 Oct
Tanzania U23
3 : 1 Kenya U23
29 Jul
South Sudan U23
1 : 0 Kenya U23
27 Jul
Burundi U23
1 : 0 Kenya U23
21 Jul
South Sudan U23
0 : 2 Kenya U23
18 Jul
Djibouti U23
0 : 3 Kenya U23
Page 1 of 2
Tournament Bracket & Draw
Quarter-finals
Burkina Faso U23 -
TBD -
TBD -
Zambia U23 -
Mauritania U23 1
D.R. Congo U23 2
TBD -
Nigeria U23 -
Equatorial Guinea U23 -
TBD -
TBD -
Niger U23 -
Togo U23 2
Libya U23 4
TBD -
Ghana U23 -
Tunisia U23 2
Benin U23 1
TBD -
Gabon U23 -
Kenya U23 5
Tanzania U23 4
TBD -
Ivory Coast U23 -
Djibouti U23 2
South Sudan U23 4
TBD -
Senegal U23 -
Ethiopia U23 -
TBD -
TBD -
Morocco U23 -
Rwanda U23 4
Sudan U23 1
TBD -
Cameroon U23 -
Madagascar U23 -
TBD -
TBD -
South Africa U23 -
Angola U23 6
Namibia U23 1
TBD -
Congo U23 -
Seychelles U23 2
Botswana U23 4
TBD -
Guinea U23 -
Malawi U23 1
Eswatini U23 2
TBD -
Algeria U23 -
Zimbabwe U23 6
Mauritius U23 1
TBD -
Mali U23 -
Semi-finals
Burkina Faso U23 -
Zambia U23 -
D.R. Congo U23 -
Nigeria U23 -
Equatorial Guinea U23 -
Niger U23 -
Libya U23 -
Ghana U23 -
Tunisia U23 -
Gabon U23 -
Kenya U23 -
Ivory Coast U23 -
South Sudan U23 -
Senegal U23 -
Ethiopia U23 -
Morocco U23 -
Rwanda U23 -
Cameroon U23 -
Madagascar U23 -
South Africa U23 -
Angola U23 -
Congo U23 -
Botswana U23 -
Guinea U23 -
Eswatini U23 -
Algeria U23 -
Zimbabwe U23 -
Mali U23 -
Final
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
