Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Tanzania vs Morocco

Africa Africa

African Nations Championship Benjamin Mkapa National Stadium, Dar es Salaam
Our Tip

Match Events

34'
Boulacsout M.
37'
Kagoma Y.
65' Event
Lamlioui O.
Assist: Belammari Y.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-1. This leg finished 0-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Tanzania
20%
Draws
56%
Morocco
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Morocco

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Morocco have won more games recently than Tanzania.
  • Model gives Tanzania a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Morocco arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Morocco, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Morocco have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 54%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 21%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22.8%
Tanzania Clean Sheet 68%
Morocco Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tanzania Morocco
Matches Played 26 35
Wins 8 29
Draws 5 5
Losses 13 1
Goals Scored 1 2.09
Goals Conceded 1.04 0.4
Expected Goals (xG) 0.71 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 4, 2026 Africa Cup of Nations
Morocco vs Tanzania
1:0
Aug 22, 2025 African Nations Championship
Tanzania vs Morocco
0:1
Mar 25, 2025 World Championship
Morocco vs Tanzania
2:0
Jan 17, 2024 Africa Cup of Nations
Morocco vs Tanzania
3:0
Nov 21, 2023 World Championship
Tanzania vs Morocco
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tanzania Compare

Avg xG / game 0.55
Avg xA / game 0.35

Morocco Compare

Top Goalscorer Lamlioui O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tanzania 46 / 100
Morocco 44 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tanzania Morocco

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Tanzania has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Tanzania scored in 50% of their last 26 games.

Defensive concern: Morocco conceded in 31% of 35 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Tanzania VS Morocco
1.17 Goals Scored 2.38
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.25
33% Over 1.5 75%
17% Over 2.5 50%
17% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Tanzania

(Home)
29 Mar
Macau
0 : 6
Tanzania
26 Mar
Tanzania
0 : 1
Liechtenstein
04 Jan
Morocco
1 : 0
Tanzania
30 Dec
Tanzania
1 : 1
Tunisia
27 Dec
Uganda
1 : 1
Tanzania
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Morocco

(Away)
09 Jul
France
2 : 0
Morocco
04 Jul
Canada
0 : 3
Morocco
30 Jun
Netherlands
1 : 2
Morocco
24 Jun
Morocco
4 : 2
Haiti
19 Jun
Scotland
0 : 1
Morocco
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Kenya 1
Madagascar 2
Sudan 2
Algeria 1
Tanzania 0
Morocco 1
Uganda 0
Senegal 1
Semi-finals
Madagascar 1
Sudan 0
Morocco 2
Senegal 1
Final
Madagascar 2
Morocco 3
Sudan 1
Senegal 2