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Tanzania vs Uganda

World World

Friendly International Stade de Marrakech, Marrakech
Fri, Jun 5, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Tanzania host Uganda in the Friendly International. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: Tanzania at 1 goals for, 1.04 against; Uganda at 1.21 for, 1.33 against. Past meetings favor Tanzania slightly — 2-1-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jun 5, 2026, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.25 vs 1.13, favoring Uganda. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Tanzania
30%
Draws
31%
Uganda
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Tanzania

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Uganda have won more games recently than Tanzania.
  • 39% — that's where the model lands on Tanzania taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.2%
Tanzania Clean Sheet 20%
Uganda Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tanzania Uganda
Matches Played 26 24
Wins 8 11
Draws 5 3
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 1 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.04 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 5, 2026 Friendly International
Tanzania vs Uganda
0:0
Dec 27, 2025 Africa Cup of Nations
Uganda vs Tanzania
1:1
Jul 22, 2025 Friendly International
Tanzania vs Uganda
1:0
Mar 28, 2023 Africa Cup of Nations
Tanzania vs Uganda
0:1
Mar 24, 2023 Africa Cup of Nations
Uganda vs Tanzania
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tanzania 76 / 100
Uganda 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tanzania Uganda

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tanzania Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Uganda let in goals in 63% of their last 24 matches.

Solid form: Tanzania remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Uganda's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Tanzania's goal record stands at 50% scoring rate across 26 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Tanzania VS Uganda
0.75 Goals Scored 0.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Tanzania

(Home)
29 Mar
Macau
0 : 6
Tanzania
26 Mar
Tanzania
0 : 1
Liechtenstein
04 Jan
Morocco
1 : 0
Tanzania
30 Dec
Tanzania
1 : 1
Tunisia
27 Dec
Uganda
1 : 1
Tanzania
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Uganda

(Away)
30 Dec
Uganda
1 : 3
Nigeria
27 Dec
Uganda
1 : 1
Tanzania
23 Dec
Tunisia
3 : 1
Uganda
18 Nov
Morocco
4 : 0
Uganda
14 Nov
Uganda
2 : 1
Chad
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