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Tapatio vs Zacatecas Mineros

Mexico Mexico

Liga de Expansion MX Estadio Akron, Zapopan
Sun, Aug 23, 2026
VS
11:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Tapatio host Zacatecas Mineros in the Liga de Expansion MX. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Recent numbers: Tapatio at 1.59 goals for, 1.59 against; Zacatecas Mineros at 1.5 for, 2.03 against. Past meetings favor Zacatecas Mineros slightly — 1-4-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 29, 2026, ending 2:1. The numbers (1.56 xG vs 1.38) point toward Zacatecas Mineros. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Tapatio
30%
Draws
39%
Zacatecas Mineros
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Zacatecas Mineros

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

31% / Low Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Tapatio at 1.59 per game, Zacatecas Mineros at 1.5.
  • 31% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Zacatecas Mineros have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Tapatio Clean Sheet 17%
Zacatecas Mineros Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tapatio Zacatecas Mineros
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 9 9
Draws 6 9
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 1.59 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.59 2.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 29, 2026 Liga de Expansion MX
Zacatecas Mineros vs Tapatio
2:1
Oct 19, 2025 Liga de Expansion MX
Tapatio vs Zacatecas Mineros
2:3
Feb 23, 2025 Liga de Expansion MX
Tapatio vs Zacatecas Mineros
0:1
Sep 7, 2024 Liga de Expansion MX
Zacatecas Mineros vs Tapatio
3:1
Jan 19, 2024 Liga de Expansion MX
Zacatecas Mineros vs Tapatio
0:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tapatio 30 / 100
Zacatecas Mineros 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tapatio Zacatecas Mineros

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TAP Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Zacatecas Mineros has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Tapatio's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Tapatio went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tapatio VS Zacatecas Mineros
0.88 Goals Scored 1.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.25
50% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Tapatio

(Home)
08 Aug
Venados FC
3 : 2
Tapatio
01 Aug
Tapatio
1 : 0
Jaiba Brava
26 Jul
Tapatio
0 : 0
Cruz Azul Hidalgo
03 Jul
Club Leon
4 : 2
Tapatio
27 Apr
Cancun
1 : 0
Tapatio
Page 1 of 6

Zacatecas Mineros

(Away)
07 Aug
Dorados de Sinaloa
2 : 2
Zacatecas Mineros
01 Aug
Zacatecas Mineros
3 : 1
Tlaxcala
25 Jul
Zacatecas Mineros
3 : 3
Correcaminos
10 Jul
Atletico San Luis
4 : 0
Zacatecas Mineros
04 Jul
Zacatecas Mineros
1 : 3
Juarez
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Correcaminos 3 2 1 0 9:5 7
2 Venados FC 3 2 1 0 7:3 7
3 Piratas 3 2 1 0 4:0 7
4 Club Atletico Morelia 3 2 0 1 8:4 6
5 Leones Negros 3 2 0 1 7:5 6
6 Alacranes de Durango 3 2 0 1 2:3 6
7 Zacatecas Mineros 3 1 2 0 8:6 5
8 Dorados de Sinaloa 2 1 1 0 4:2 4
9 Jaiba Brava 3 1 1 1 3:1 4
10 Tapatio 3 1 1 1 3:3 4
11 Atletico La Paz 3 1 0 2 7:5 3
12 Alebrijes de Oaxaca 3 1 0 2 2:5 3
13 Cruz Azul Hidalgo 3 0 2 1 1:4 2
14 Cancun 2 0 0 2 1:6 0
15 Tlaxcala 3 0 0 3 3:9 0
16 Tepatitlan de Morelos 3 0 0 3 1:9 0
Promotion - Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura - Play Offs)