Sport Picks
Tapatio vs Zacatecas Mineros - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Mexico
Liga de Expansion MX Estadio Akron, Zapopan 
Match Events
6'
6'
Cano J.
11'
11'
Villaseca D.
22'
22'
Villaseca D.
Assist: Garcia G.
AI Match Summary
Tapatio in this Liga de Expansion MX matchup, with the score ending 4-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tapatio.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
34%
15%
51%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Zacatecas Mineros
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
34%
/ Low Confidence
- Zacatecas Mineros haven't matched Tapatio's recent run of results.
- 34% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and Zacatecas Mineros have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Tapatio Clean Sheet 11%
Zacatecas Mineros Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Tapatio | Zacatecas Mineros |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 12 | 11 |
| Draws | 5 | 6 |
| Losses | 12 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.9 | 1.6 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.66 | 1.87 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.75 | 1.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 24, 2026 Liga de Expansion MX
Tapatio vs Zacatecas Mineros
4:2
Mar 29, 2026 Liga de Expansion MX
Zacatecas Mineros vs Tapatio
2:1
Oct 19, 2025 Liga de Expansion MX
Tapatio vs Zacatecas Mineros
2:3
Feb 23, 2025 Liga de Expansion MX
Tapatio vs Zacatecas Mineros
0:1
Sep 7, 2024 Liga de Expansion MX
Zacatecas Mineros vs Tapatio
3:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Tapatio Compare
Top Goalscorer Villaseca D.
2 Goals Assists Leader Hernandez J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88
Zacatecas Mineros Compare
Top Goalscorer Padilla P.
1 Goals Assists Leader Mazatan O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Tapatio 29 / 100
Zacatecas Mineros 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Tapatio Zacatecas Mineros
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Tapatio Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Tapatio scored in 86% of their last 29 outings.
H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.
Zacatecas Mineros's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.
Zacatecas Mineros lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Tapatio VS Zacatecas Mineros
2.13 Goals Scored 1.88
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
75% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Tapatio
(Home) 04 Oct
Cancun
1 : 0 Tapatio
20 Sept
Tapatio
4 : 0 Tlaxcala
13 Sept
Dorados de Sinaloa
3 : 1 Tapatio
06 Sept
Tapatio
1 : 3 Leones Negros
28 Aug
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
1 : 1 Tapatio
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Tapatio
4 : 0 Tlaxcala
06 Sept
Tapatio
1 : 3 Leones Negros
24 Aug
Tapatio
4 : 2 Zacatecas Mineros
01 Aug
Tapatio
1 : 0 Jaiba Brava
26 Jul
Tapatio
0 : 0 Cruz Azul Hidalgo
Page 1 of 3
Zacatecas Mineros
(Away) 04 Oct
Alacranes de Durango
4 : 2 Zacatecas Mineros
25 Sept
Zacatecas Mineros
3 : 0 Piratas
19 Sept
Tepatitlan de Morelos
0 : 1 Zacatecas Mineros
13 Sept
Zacatecas Mineros
0 : 1 Club Atletico Morelia
05 Sept
Atletico La Paz
3 : 0 Zacatecas Mineros
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
Alacranes de Durango
4 : 2 Zacatecas Mineros
19 Sept
Tepatitlan de Morelos
0 : 1 Zacatecas Mineros
05 Sept
Atletico La Paz
3 : 0 Zacatecas Mineros
24 Aug
Tapatio
4 : 2 Zacatecas Mineros
07 Aug
Dorados de Sinaloa
2 : 2 Zacatecas Mineros
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Leones Negros | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 27:16 | 23 |
| 2 | Club Atletico Morelia | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 21:12 | 22 |
| 3 | Atletico La Paz | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 24:13 | 20 |
| 4 | Venados FC | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 26:21 | 19 |
| 5 | Piratas | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 16:10 | 18 |
| 6 | Zacatecas Mineros | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 23:19 | 17 |
| 7 | Cancun | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 19:15 | 17 |
| 8 | Alacranes de Durango | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 11:11 | 17 |
| 9 | Correcaminos | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 20:20 | 16 |
| 10 | Tapatio | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 17:15 | 14 |
| 11 | Dorados de Sinaloa | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 20:20 | 13 |
| 12 | Alebrijes de Oaxaca | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 10:23 | 13 |
| 13 | Tlaxcala | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 19:23 | 12 |
| 14 | Jaiba Brava | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 12:19 | 11 |
| 15 | Cruz Azul Hidalgo | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 11:18 | 8 |
| 16 | Tepatitlan de Morelos | 10 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 8:29 | 6 |
Promotion - Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura - Play Offs)
