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Taranto vs Cavese

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group C 2024/2025 Stadio Comunale Erasmo Iacovone, Taranto
Sat, Mar 29, 2025
VS
04:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Taranto host Cavese in the Serie C - Group C 2024/2025. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Recent numbers: Taranto at 0.4 goals for, 2.95 against; Cavese at 0.8 for, 1.03 against. Head-to-head, Taranto have won 1 to Cavese's 3, with 1 draws. They last met on Mar 29, 2025, ending 0:0. The numbers (0.97 xG vs 0.99) point toward Cavese. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Taranto
15%
Draws
85%
Cavese
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cavese

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

0% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Cavese come out ahead of Taranto on wins alone.
  • 0% — that's where the model lands on Taranto taking it.
  • Regular Serie C - Group C 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.2%
Taranto Clean Sheet 20%
Cavese Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Taranto Cavese
Matches Played 20 30
Wins 3 7
Draws 1 12
Losses 16 11
Goals Scored 0.4 0.8
Goals Conceded 2.95 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 0.99
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 29, 2025 Serie C - Group C
Taranto vs Cavese
0:0
Nov 17, 2024 Serie C - Group C
Cavese vs Taranto
3:0
May 20, 2018 Serie D - Group H
Cavese vs Taranto
3:1
Apr 8, 2018 Serie D - Group H
Taranto vs Cavese
2:1
Nov 19, 2017 Serie D - Group H
Cavese vs Taranto
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Taranto 67 / 100
Cavese 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Taranto Cavese

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Taranto Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cavese has conceded goals in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Away concern: Cavese has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Taranto's goal record stands at 40% scoring rate across 20 recent games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Cavese
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 0.75
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Taranto

(Home)
21 Feb
Picerno
7 : 0
Taranto
14 Feb
Taranto
0 : 3
Foggia
08 Feb
Sorrento
6 : 0
Taranto
03 Feb
Taranto
0 : 6
Casertana
27 Jan
Altamura
5 : 1
Taranto
Page 1 of 4

Cavese

(Away)
21 Aug
Bari
3 : 0
Cavese
15 Aug
Campobasso
2 : 0
Cavese
06 Aug
Cavese
0 : 1
Juve Stabia
30 Jul
Cavese
1 : 0
Sarnese
26 Apr
Cavese
1 : 1
Cosenza
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Avellino 34 22 9 3 61:26 75
2 Audace Cerignola 34 19 10 5 50:32 67
3 Monopoli 34 15 12 7 36:25 57
4 Crotone 34 15 9 10 62:49 54
5 Catania 34 14 12 8 49:34 53
6 Benevento 34 13 13 8 51:34 52
7 Potenza 34 12 13 9 55:52 49
8 Picerno 34 10 18 6 39:27 48
9 Juventus U23 34 12 8 14 44:45 44
10 Giugliano 34 12 7 15 51:54 43
11 Trapani 34 11 8 15 42:42 41
12 Cavese 34 10 11 13 34:39 41
13 Altamura 34 9 10 15 35:47 37
14 Sorrento 34 9 8 17 26:49 35
15 Latina 34 9 7 18 25:56 34
16 Casertana 34 6 14 14 30:38 32
17 Foggia 34 7 10 17 34:51 31
18 ACR Messina 34 6 11 17 29:53 25
19 Turris 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
20 Taranto 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Serie B 2025/2026 (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C - Group A 2024/2025 (Play Out)