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Taraz-Karatau 2 vs Gefest Karagandy

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

First Division 2013
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The First Division 2013 game between Taraz-Karatau 2 and Gefest Karagandy finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Gefest Karagandy.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Taraz-Karatau 2
15%
Draws
0%
Gefest Karagandy
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Taraz-Karatau 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Gefest Karagandy haven't matched Taraz-Karatau 2's recent run of results.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Taraz-Karatau 2 taking it.
  • Regular First Division 2013 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Taraz-Karatau 2 Clean Sheet 20%
Gefest Karagandy Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Taraz-Karatau 2 Gefest Karagandy
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 11 7
Draws 7 3
Losses 14 20
Goals Scored 1.63 0.73
Goals Conceded 1.75 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 2, 2014 First League
Taraz-Karatau 2 vs Gefest Karagandy
3:0
Jul 12, 2014 First League
Gefest Karagandy vs Taraz-Karatau 2
1:1
Oct 16, 2013 First League
Taraz-Karatau 2 vs Gefest Karagandy
0:1
Apr 14, 2013 First League
Gefest Karagandy vs Taraz-Karatau 2
1:1
Aug 11, 2011 First League
Taraz-Karatau 2 vs Gefest Karagandy
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Taraz-Karatau 2 85 / 100
Gefest Karagandy 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Taraz-Karatau 2 Gefest Karagandy

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Taraz-Karatau 2 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Gefest Karagandy conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

Away concern: Gefest Karagandy has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Taraz-Karatau 2's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Taraz-Karatau 2 VS -
1.75 Goals Scored 0
2 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Taraz-Karatau 2

(Home)
05 Nov
Kairat Almaty 2
4 : 0
Taraz-Karatau 2
28 Oct
Igilik
0 : 7
Taraz-Karatau 2
22 Oct
Taraz-Karatau 2
2 : 4
FK Kyran
16 Oct
Okzhetpes
6 : 1
Taraz-Karatau 2
09 Oct
Taraz-Karatau 2
1 : 0
FC Astana 2
Page 1 of 7

Gefest Karagandy

(Away)
08 Nov
Gefest Karagandy
0 : 3
Bayterek Astana
02 Nov
Kaspij Aktau
3 : 0
Gefest Karagandy
25 Oct
Gefest Karagandy
0 : 3
Maqtaaral
19 Oct
FK Kyran
3 : 0
Gefest Karagandy
11 Oct
Gefest Karagandy
0 : 3
Akzhayik Uralsk
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kaisar Kyzylorda 34 23 8 3 77:20 74
2 Spartak Semey 34 21 7 6 54:24 70
3 Okzhetpes 34 20 7 7 51:27 67
4 Kyzylzhar 34 20 5 9 52:35 65
5 Kaspij Aktau 34 19 8 7 55:31 65
6 Ile-Saulet 34 19 8 7 66:32 65
7 Zhenis 34 15 13 6 51:37 58
8 FK Kyran 34 16 7 11 53:39 55
9 Sunkar 34 16 9 9 48:33 48
10 Ak Bulak 34 14 6 14 49:39 48
11 Gefest Karagandy 34 12 8 14 37:46 44
12 FC Ekibastuz 34 9 13 12 34:36 40
13 Shakhtar Bulat 34 7 9 18 28:42 30
14 Taraz-Karatau 2 34 5 9 20 28:57 24
15 Bayterek Astana 34 8 5 21 32:67 23
16 Maqtaaral 34 5 7 22 29:62 22
17 CSKA Almaty 34 5 4 25 29:79 19
18 Shymkent 34 2 7 25 27:94 13
Promotion - Premier League 2014 (Main)
Promotion - Premier League 2013 (Relegation)