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Taraz-Karatau 2 vs Shakhtar Bulat

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

First Division 2022
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Mukhametzhanov U.
62' Event
Tursynbay D.
77' Event
Ashirbek A.

AI Match Summary

The First Division 2022 game between Taraz-Karatau 2 and Shakhtar Bulat finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Taraz-Karatau 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Taraz-Karatau 2
39%
Draws
31%
Shakhtar Bulat
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Taraz-Karatau 2 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular First Division 2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Taraz-Karatau 2 Clean Sheet 20%
Shakhtar Bulat Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Taraz-Karatau 2 Shakhtar Bulat
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 8
Draws 6 5
Losses 14 17
Goals Scored 1.88 1.88
Goals Conceded 2.5 2.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.50 2.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 30, 2022 First League
Shakhtar Bulat vs Taraz-Karatau 2
4:2
Jun 25, 2022 First League
Taraz-Karatau 2 vs Shakhtar Bulat
2:1
Sep 12, 2021 First League
Taraz-Karatau 2 vs Shakhtar Bulat
4:1
May 17, 2021 First League
Shakhtar Bulat vs Taraz-Karatau 2
2:0
Oct 17, 2015 First League
Taraz-Karatau 2 vs Shakhtar Bulat
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Taraz-Karatau 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Tursynbay D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ashirbek A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Shakhtar Bulat Compare

Top Goalscorer Mukhametzhanov U.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Taraz-Karatau 2 31 / 100
Shakhtar Bulat 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Taraz-Karatau 2 Shakhtar Bulat

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TAR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Shakhtar Bulat's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.80 goals per match.

Taraz-Karatau 2's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Difficult form: Shakhtar Bulat registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Taraz-Karatau 2 VS Shakhtar Bulat
1.88 Goals Scored 1.88
2.5 Goals Conceded 2.5
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 75%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Okzhetpes26194380:2261
2Kaisar Kyzylorda26175460:2656
3Zhetysu Taldykorgan26174557:2352
4Kairat Almaty 226156561:3151
5FK Kyran26125957:4341
6FC Ekibastuz26910745:4737
7Taraz-Karatau 2261061045:4736
8Zhenis261051140:3635
9Turkistan261051148:5435
10Akademiya Ontustik26861242:6030
11FC Astana 226761350:6227
12Igilik26631727:7021
13Shakhtar Bulat26451736:7217
14Baykonur Kyzylorda26142116:717