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Taraz vs Jaiyq Prediction & H2H Stats

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

First League
Taraz Logo

Taraz

2 - 1
FT
Jaiyq Logo

Jaiyq

Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Nuraly M.
Assist: Baytana B.
45' Event
Akhmet A.
(Penalty)
73' Event
Kalybayev D.
Assist: Alishauskas E.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The First League game between Taraz and Jaiyq finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Taraz.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Taraz
35%
Draws
30%
Jaiyq
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Taraz come out ahead of Jaiyq on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular First League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Taraz Clean Sheet 18%
Jaiyq Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Taraz Jaiyq
Matches Played 29 24
Wins 11 9
Draws 7 4
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 1.41 0.92
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 7, 2026 First League
Jaiyq vs Taraz
2:0
May 8, 2026 First League
Taraz vs Jaiyq
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Taraz Compare

Top Goalscorer Nuraly M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kalybayev D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Jaiyq Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Taraz 32 / 100
Jaiyq 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Taraz Jaiyq

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Taraz scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Taraz has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Jaiyq's defensive record shows goals conceded in 58% of 24 matches.

Scoring Trends

Taraz VS Jaiyq
1.25 Goals Scored 1.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Taraz

(Home)
17 Sept
Shakhter Karagandy
0 : 0
Taraz
11 Sept
Taraz
3 : 3
Khan Tengri
03 Sept
FC Astana 2
4 : 0
Taraz
28 Aug
Taraz
3 : 1
Tobol 2
20 Aug
Arys
1 : 1
Taraz
Page 1 of 6

Jaiyq

(Away)
17 Sept
Akademiya Ontustik
0 : 0
Jaiyq
11 Sept
Jaiyq
1 : 2
Shakhter Karagandy
04 Sept
Jaiyq
2 : 0
Yelimay Semey 2
28 Aug
Aktobe 2
1 : 0
Jaiyq
21 Aug
Jaiyq
0 : 0
Kaspij Aktau 2
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shakhter Karagandy 23 20 2 1 64:8 62
2 Kairat Almaty 2 23 17 5 1 66:12 56
3 Turan 23 16 2 5 51:21 50
4 Akademiya Ontustik 23 13 4 6 36:27 43
5 FC Astana 2 23 10 3 10 42:43 33
6 Jaiyq 23 9 4 10 21:26 31
7 Taraz 23 8 6 9 30:32 30
8 FC Ekibastuz 23 7 5 11 31:53 26
9 Kaspij Aktau 2 23 7 4 12 29:41 25
10 Khan Tengri 23 7 4 12 29:44 25
11 Arys 23 7 3 13 29:43 24
12 Aktobe 2 23 6 5 12 38:69 23
13 Tobol 2 23 4 4 15 40:57 16
14 Yelimay Semey 2 23 3 3 17 17:47 12
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