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Taraz vs Kairat Almaty 2 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

First League
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Kenesbekov R.
33' Event
Asubek N.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this First League matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Taraz
35%
Draws
44%
Kairat Almaty 2
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Kairat Almaty 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Kairat Almaty 2 lately — more wins on the board than Taraz.
  • Win probability leans Kairat Almaty 2's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Taraz Clean Sheet 14%
Kairat Almaty 2 Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Taraz Kairat Almaty 2
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 12 20
Draws 7 5
Losses 11 4
Goals Scored 1.47 2.76
Goals Conceded 1.33 0.83
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 9, 2026 First League
Taraz vs Kairat Almaty 2
1:1
Jul 3, 2026 First League
Kairat Almaty 2 vs Taraz
4:1
Sep 26, 2025 First League
Taraz vs Kairat Almaty 2
3:1
Jun 26, 2025 First League
Kairat Almaty 2 vs Taraz
3:1
Aug 29, 2024 First League
Taraz vs Kairat Almaty 2
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Taraz Compare

Top Goalscorer Asubek N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Kairat Almaty 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Kenesbekov R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Taraz 23 / 100
Kairat Almaty 2 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Taraz Kairat Almaty 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kairat Almaty 2 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Taraz's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Taraz has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Kairat Almaty 2's defensive record shows goals conceded in 48% of 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Taraz VS Kairat Almaty 2
1.13 Goals Scored 1.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Taraz

(Home)
17 Sept
Shakhter Karagandy
0 : 0
Taraz
11 Sept
Taraz
3 : 3
Khan Tengri
03 Sept
FC Astana 2
4 : 0
Taraz
28 Aug
Taraz
3 : 1
Tobol 2
20 Aug
Arys
1 : 1
Taraz
Page 1 of 6

Kairat Almaty 2

(Away)
18 Sept
Khan Tengri
0 : 2
Kairat Almaty 2
10 Sept
Kairat Almaty 2
2 : 2
FC Astana 2
03 Sept
Tobol 2
0 : 1
Kairat Almaty 2
27 Aug
Kairat Almaty 2
1 : 0
Arys
21 Aug
Turan
0 : 4
Kairat Almaty 2
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shakhter Karagandy 24 21 2 1 66:8 65
2 Kairat Almaty 2 23 17 5 1 66:12 56
3 Turan 23 16 2 5 51:21 50
4 Akademiya Ontustik 24 13 4 7 36:29 43
5 FC Astana 2 24 10 3 11 42:49 33
6 Jaiyq 23 9 4 10 21:26 31
7 Taraz 23 8 6 9 30:32 30
8 Kaspij Aktau 2 24 8 4 12 35:41 28
9 Arys 24 8 3 13 32:45 27
10 FC Ekibastuz 24 7 6 11 32:54 27
11 Khan Tengri 24 7 5 12 30:45 26
12 Aktobe 2 24 6 6 12 42:73 24
13 Tobol 2 24 4 5 15 44:61 17
14 Yelimay Semey 2 24 3 3 18 19:50 12
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