Sport Picks

Romania

Liga 3 - Seria 6 2011/2012

Ariesul 1907

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Targu Mures II play Ariesul 1907 in the Liga 3 - Seria 6 2011/2012. Ariesul 1907 are favorites here. Recently, Targu Mures II averaged 1.18 goals scored and 2.41 conceded. Ariesul 1907 averaged 1.43 goals scored and 1.1 conceded. In past meetings, Targu Mures II won 0, Ariesul 1907 won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 15, 2012 ended 3:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.92 for Targu Mures II and 1.25 for Ariesul 1907. This points to a Ariesul 1907 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%

Targu Mures II

15%

Draws

58%

Ariesul 1907

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ariesul 1907

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

84% / High Confidence

Targu Mures II picked up more points recently compared to Ariesul 1907.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.92 vs 1.25 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 65%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 79%

Over 2.5 Goals 65%

Over 3.5 Goals 39%

Over 4.5 Goals 20%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 54%

Targu Mures II Clean Sheet 19%

Ariesul 1907 Clean Sheet 16%

First Half Goal 71%

Second Half Goal 75%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Targu Mures II	Ariesul 1907
Matches Played	39	30
Wins	11	15
Draws	4	4
Losses	24	11
Goals Scored	1.18	1.43
Goals Conceded	2.41	1.1

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 15, 2012 Liga 3 - Seria 6

Ariesul 1907 vs Targu Mures II

Possession: 56% - 53% Cards: 3 - 2

3:1

Nov 4, 2011 Liga 3 - Seria 6

Targu Mures II vs Ariesul 1907

Possession: 53% - 49% Cards: 3 - 1

1:5

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Targu Mures II 28 / 100

Ariesul 1907 55 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Targu Mures II Ariesul 1907

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ariesul 1907 Win (2)

Secondary Pick Ariesul 1907 & Over 2.5

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +42%

5.26

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +9.9%

1.69

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Targu Mures II attacking → ← attacking Ariesul 1907

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Targu Mures II scored in 59% of their last 39 games.

Ariesul 1907 let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Targu Mures II went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Ariesul 1907 lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

37 Points in last 5 49

0.63 Goals expected (xG) 0.00

1.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Corona Brasov	30	23	5	2	59:8	74
2	Olimpia Satu Mare	30	23	2	5	57:22	71
3	Tarlungeni	30	18	5	7	55:29	59
4	Zalau (inactive)	30	16	4	10	44:39	52
5	Avantul Reghin	30	15	5	10	38:34	50
6	Ariesul 1907	30	15	4	11	43:33	49
7	FC Municipal Turda	30	15	3	12	47:40	48
8	Universitatea Cluj II	30	13	6	11	52:38	45
9	Unirea Ungheni	30	13	2	15	48:54	41
10	CFR Cluj II	30	11	6	13	48:43	39
11	Sanatatea Cluj	30	10	7	13	44:46	37
12	Unirea Dej	30	9	6	15	34:52	33
13	Vointa Livezile	30	8	7	15	35:47	31
14	Zlatna	30	6	5	19	25:61	23
15	Targu Mures II	30	4	4	22	24:69	16
16	Gloria Progresul Bistrita	30	4	3	23	33:71	15