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Targu Mures W vs CSM Alexandria W

Romania Romania

Liga 1 Women 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Doiban C.
28' Event
Doiban C.
32' Event
Nica A.

AI Match Summary

CSM Alexandria W in this Liga 1 Women 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 3-5 — backing the pre-match view that favored CSM Alexandria W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Targu Mures W
6%
Draws
90%
CSM Alexandria W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: CSM Alexandria W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to CSM Alexandria W lately — more wins on the board than Targu Mures W.
  • Model gives CSM Alexandria W a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Liga 1 Women 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 93%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and CSM Alexandria W have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 93%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Targu Mures W Clean Sheet 10%
CSM Alexandria W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Targu Mures W CSM Alexandria W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 5 15
Draws 1 1
Losses 24 14
Goals Scored 1.88 2.5
Goals Conceded 3.5 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.50 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 19, 2024 Superliga Women
CSM Alexandria W vs Targu Mures W
9:1
Apr 28, 2024 Superliga Women
Targu Mures W vs CSM Alexandria W
1:2
Apr 17, 2024 Romanian Cup Women
CSM Alexandria W vs Targu Mures W
5:0
Apr 14, 2024 Superliga Women
CSM Alexandria W vs Targu Mures W
6:2
Mar 17, 2024 Superliga Women
Targu Mures W vs CSM Alexandria W
3:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Targu Mures W Compare

Top Goalscorer Szekely K.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Biro A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

CSM Alexandria W Compare

Top Goalscorer Doiban C.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Nica A.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.27
Avg xA / game 1.39

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Targu Mures W 10 / 100
CSM Alexandria W 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Targu Mures W CSM Alexandria W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CSM Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 6.80 goals when they meet.

CSM Alexandria W let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Solid form: Targu Mures W remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Targu Mures W scored in 50% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Targu Mures W VS CSM Alexandria W
1.88 Goals Scored 2.5
3.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 38%