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Targu Secuiesc vs Aerostar - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Romania Romania

Liga 3 - Seria 1
Sat, Oct 10, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Targu Secuiesc host Aerostar in the Liga 3 - Seria 1. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Targu Secuiesc have averaged 2.03 scored and 1.65 conceded recently, against Aerostar's 1.41 scored and 1.86 conceded. Past meetings favor Targu Secuiesc slightly — 2-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 9, 2025, ending 0:3. Model xG sits at 1.38 vs 1.81, favoring Targu Secuiesc. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Targu Secuiesc
15%
Draws
40%
Aerostar
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Targu Secuiesc

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Targu Secuiesc lately — more wins on the board than Aerostar.
  • Model gives Targu Secuiesc a 36% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Targu Secuiesc Clean Sheet 11%
Aerostar Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Targu Secuiesc Aerostar
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 12 11
Draws 11 2
Losses 8 16
Goals Scored 2.03 1.41
Goals Conceded 1.65 1.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2025 Liga 3 - Seria 2
Aerostar vs Targu Secuiesc
0:3
Apr 18, 2025 Liga 3 - Seria 2
Targu Secuiesc vs Aerostar
1:4
Mar 28, 2025 Liga 3 - Seria 2
Aerostar vs Targu Secuiesc
3:3
Mar 15, 2025 Liga 3 - Seria 2
Targu Secuiesc vs Aerostar
4:1
Oct 25, 2024 Liga 3 - Seria 2
Aerostar vs Targu Secuiesc
6:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Targu Secuiesc 35 / 100
Aerostar 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Targu Secuiesc Aerostar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Targu Secuiesc scored in 84% of their last 31 games.

Aerostar has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 5.20 goals per match.

Solid form: Targu Secuiesc remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Targu Secuiesc VS Aerostar
1.5 Goals Scored 1.38
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Targu Secuiesc

(Home)
02 Oct
Odorheiu
1 : 3
Targu Secuiesc
26 Sept
Targu Secuiesc
3 : 1
Bradul Putna
23 Sept
CSM Vaslui
3 : 1
Targu Secuiesc
19 Sept
Targu Secuiesc
4 : 2
VSK Gyergyo
12 Sept
Adjud
2 : 2
Targu Secuiesc
Page 1 of 7

Aerostar

(Away)
02 Oct
Aerostar
5 : 0
CSM Pascani
26 Sept
Ceahlaul
0 : 3
Aerostar
23 Sept
Odorheiu
2 : 0
Aerostar
18 Sept
Aerostar
3 : 1
Bradul Putna
12 Sept
CSM Vaslui
3 : 0
Aerostar
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CSM Vaslui 7 6 1 0 17:7 19
2 ACS USV Iasi 7 5 1 1 10:5 16
3 Adjud 7 4 2 1 15:7 14
4 Aerostar 7 4 0 3 13:8 12
5 Targu Secuiesc 7 3 2 2 16:13 11
6 FC Bacau 2 7 3 2 2 9:13 11
7 Bradul Putna 7 3 1 3 18:13 10
8 Odorheiu 7 2 4 1 8:7 10
9 VSK Gyergyo 7 2 1 4 10:12 7
10 Viitorul Onesti 7 1 1 5 10:12 4
11 Ceahlaul 7 0 2 5 2:16 2
12 CSM Pascani 7 0 1 6 7:22 1
Promotion - Liga 3 - Promotion Group 2026/2027 (Main)
Relegation - Liga 3 - Seria 1 (Relegation Group)