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Tartu JK Welco vs Flora Tallinn U21 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Estonia Estonia

Esiliiga Holm Jalgpallipark, Tartu
Tartu JK Welco Logo

Tartu JK Welco

2 - 1
FT
Flora Tallinn U21 Logo

Flora Tallinn U21

Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Kablik H.
48' Event
Paltser E.
88' Event
Kablik H.
Assist: Mottus E.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Esiliiga game between Tartu JK Welco and Flora Tallinn U21 finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tartu JK Welco.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Tartu JK Welco
30%
Draws
19%
Flora Tallinn U21
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Tartu JK Welco

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Flora Tallinn U21 haven't matched Tartu JK Welco's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Tartu JK Welco a 51% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Tartu JK Welco Clean Sheet 12%
Flora Tallinn U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tartu JK Welco Flora Tallinn U21
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 18 15
Draws 5 6
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 2.84 2.61
Goals Conceded 1.32 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 Esiliiga
Tartu JK Welco vs Flora Tallinn U21
2:1
May 17, 2026 Esiliiga
Tartu JK Welco vs Flora Tallinn U21
3:3
Mar 14, 2026 Esiliiga
Flora Tallinn U21 vs Tartu JK Welco
1:6
Nov 9, 2025 Esiliiga
Flora Tallinn U21 vs Tartu JK Welco
1:1
Sep 14, 2025 Esiliiga
Tartu JK Welco vs Flora Tallinn U21
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tartu JK Welco Compare

Top Goalscorer Kablik H.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.68
Avg xA / game 1.09

Flora Tallinn U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Paltser E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tartu JK Welco 74 / 100
Flora Tallinn U21 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tartu JK Welco Flora Tallinn U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tartu JK Welco Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tartu JK Welco scored in 81% of their last 31 games.

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

Solid form: Tartu JK Welco remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Flora Tallinn U21 has conceded goals in 74% of their last 31 outings.

Scoring Trends

Tartu JK Welco VS Flora Tallinn U21
2.88 Goals Scored 2.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Tartu JK Welco

(Home)
09 Oct
Tartu JK Welco
4 : 0
Elva
17 Sept
Viimsi JK
0 : 2
Tartu JK Welco
14 Sept
Tartu JK Welco
3 : 0
Kalju U21
10 Sept
Levadia U21
0 : 0
Tartu JK Welco
05 Sept
Tallinna Kalev
1 : 1
Tartu JK Welco
Page 1 of 7

Flora Tallinn U21

(Away)
10 Oct
Flora Tallinn U21
1 : 2
FC Tallinn
18 Sept
Tallinna Kalev
2 : 2
Flora Tallinn U21
13 Sept
Flora Tallinn U21
1 : 2
Elva
10 Sept
Kalju U21
1 : 5
Flora Tallinn U21
04 Sept
Levadia U21
6 : 2
Flora Tallinn U21
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tartu JK Welco 32 21 5 6 85:39 68
2 Viimsi JK 32 17 5 10 58:32 56
3 Flora Tallinn U21 32 15 6 11 73:55 51
4 Elva 32 15 6 11 47:48 51
5 Levadia U21 31 15 2 14 61:55 47
6 Tallinna Kalev 31 11 7 13 53:57 40
7 Nomme Utd U21 32 11 6 15 50:63 39
8 FC Tallinn 31 9 8 14 41:64 35
9 Kalju U21 31 7 4 20 38:79 25
10 Maardu Linnameeskond 36 12 5 19 45:59 41
Promotion - Meistriliiga 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga B 2027 (Main)