Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Tartu JK Welco vs Kalju U21

Estonia Estonia

Esiliiga Holm Jalgpallipark, Tartu
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Kiisel A.
28' Event
Raudmae J.
32' Event
Salu R.

AI Match Summary

Tartu JK Welco in this Esiliiga matchup, with the score ending 4-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tartu JK Welco.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Tartu JK Welco
6%
Draws
4%
Kalju U21
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Tartu JK Welco

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Tartu JK Welco lately — more wins on the board than Kalju U21.
  • Win probability leans Tartu JK Welco's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Esiliiga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Tartu JK Welco have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Tartu JK Welco Clean Sheet 16%
Kalju U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tartu JK Welco Kalju U21
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 16 9
Draws 6 5
Losses 7 15
Goals Scored 3 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.25 2.5
Expected Goals (xG) 3.00 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 2.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 28, 2026 Esiliiga
Tartu JK Welco vs Kalju U21
4:2
Apr 11, 2026 Esiliiga
Kalju U21 vs Tartu JK Welco
1:5
Oct 23, 2025 Esiliiga
Tartu JK Welco vs Kalju U21
5:2
Jul 19, 2025 Esiliiga
Kalju U21 vs Tartu JK Welco
0:3
Jun 19, 2025 Esiliiga
Tartu JK Welco vs Kalju U21
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tartu JK Welco Compare

Top Goalscorer Raudmae J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Salu R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.31
Avg xA / game 1.5

Kalju U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Kiisel A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pihkva J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tartu JK Welco 84 / 100
Kalju U21 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tartu JK Welco Kalju U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TAR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 3:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tartu JK Welco found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).

Kalju U21's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.60 goals per match.

Tartu JK Welco has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Tartu JK Welco VS Kalju U21
3 Goals Scored 1.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.5
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
75% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Tartu JK Welco

(Home)
18 Jul
Tartu JK Welco
0 : 2
FC Tallinn
13 Jul
Maardu Linnameeskond
1 : 8
Tartu JK Welco
02 Jul
Tartu JK Welco
2 : 2
Viimsi JK
21 Jun
Tartu JK Welco
5 : 2
Nomme Utd U21
18 Jun
Levadia U21
1 : 3
Tartu JK Welco
Page 1 of 6

Kalju U21

(Away)
18 Jul
Kalju U21
0 : 2
Levadia U21
11 Jul
Viimsi JK
2 : 2
Kalju U21
05 Jul
Kalju U21
2 : 2
Elva
21 Jun
Tallinna Kalev
5 : 1
Kalju U21
18 Jun
Maardu Linnameeskond
2 : 1
Kalju U21
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Tartu JK Welco20143362:2645
2Viimsi JK1995531:1932
3Flora Tallinn U211994646:3831
4Elva2093837:3330
5Levadia U2120901139:3527
6Maardu Linnameeskond2075830:4726
7Tallinna Kalev2074940:4025
8FC Tallinn20551027:4920
9Nomme Utd U211955936:4520
10Kalju U2119541030:4619
Promotion - Meistriliiga 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga B 2027 (Main)