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Tartu JK Welco vs Kristiine

Estonia Estonia

Estonian Cup 2025/2026 Holm Jalgpallipark
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Penu M.
14' Event
Manucho
27' Event
Vana K.

AI Match Summary

Tartu JK Welco in this Estonian Cup 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 8-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tartu JK Welco.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Tartu JK Welco
6%
Draws
4%
Kristiine
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Tartu JK Welco

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Kristiine haven't matched Tartu JK Welco's recent run of results.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Tartu JK Welco taking it.
  • Cup games in Estonian Cup 2025/2026 usually bring a different intensity than the league.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.6%
Tartu JK Welco Clean Sheet 68%
Kristiine Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tartu JK Welco Kristiine
Matches Played 29 16
Wins 17 4
Draws 6 0
Losses 6 12
Goals Scored 2.63 0
Goals Conceded 1.5 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 10, 2025 Estonian Cup
Tartu JK Welco vs Kristiine
8:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tartu JK Welco Compare

Top Goalscorer Penu M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Manucho
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.02
Avg xA / game 1.31

Kristiine Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tartu JK Welco 95 / 100
Kristiine 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tartu JK Welco Kristiine

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TAR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 2:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tartu JK Welco found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (29 games).

Kristiine's defensive record shows goals conceded in 94% of 16 matches.

H2H data points to 8.00 goals as a typical output.

Tartu JK Welco has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Tartu JK Welco VS Kristiine
2.63 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Flora-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Kohvile-
TBD-
TBD-
Helm-
Levadia-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Flora U18-
TBD-
TBD-
Flora Tallinn U21-
Tabasalu Ulasabat-
TBD-
TBD-
Eston Villa-
Harju JK Laagri-
TBD-
TBD-
TransferWise-
Tallinna Wolves6
Soccernet4
TBD-
Raasiku Joker-
Nomme Utd-
TBD-
TBD-
Harju JK Laagri III-
Saue JK Laagri-
TBD-
TBD-
Maksatransport-
Tartu JK Welco 2-
TBD-
TBD-
Narva-
Lootus JK Jarve-
TBD-
JK Arsenal2
Rae Spordikool4
FC Tallinn-
TBD-
TBD-
Zealot Sporting-
Johvi Phoenix-
TBD-
TBD-
Kose II-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Kalju-
Viimsi JK-
TBD-
TBD-
TalTech JK-
Tamper-
TBD-
TBD-
Rumori Calcio-
Kose-
TBD-
TBD-
Kuressaare-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Paide Linnameeskond-
Flora U19-
TBD-
TBD-
Vastseliina Tannem-
Tammeka Tartu-
TBD-
TBD-
Tabasalu-
Tartu Kalev1
Elva2
TBD-
Legion-
Viimsi Lovid-
TBD-
TBD-
Tallinna Smsraha-
Tallinna Kalev III-
TBD-
TBD-
EstHam United-
Hiiumaa-
TBD-
TBD-
Tallinna Kalev-
Tallinna FC Zapoos-
TBD-
FC Hell Hunt2
FC Lootos Polva0
Raplamaa1
Saku Sporting5
Marjamaa Kompanii4
Kubik0
Parnu JK Vaprus-
TBD-
Olympic Tallinn0
Tulevik6
Jarva-Jaani-
TBD-
Keila JK5
Kallaste United2
Maardu Aliens-
TBD-
TBD-
JK Poseidon-
Tallinna Kalev U216
Vana Hea Puur0
Laanemaa Haapsalu2
Kohtla-Jarve Linnameeskond1
Tartu JK Welco16
Kuusalu Kalev0
TBD-
Tartu Helios-
Arukula Vigri-
TBD-
TBD-
Kristiine-
1/32-finals
Flora-
TBD-
Kohvile0
Helm4
Levadia-
TBD-
Flora U181
Flora Tallinn U2112
Tabasalu Ulasabat13
Eston Villa0
Harju JK Laagri26
TransferWise0
Tallinna Wolves3
Raasiku Joker4
Nomme Utd5
Harju JK Laagri III1
Saue JK Laagri6
Maksatransport1
Tartu JK Welco 20
Narva8
Lootus JK Jarve1
Rae Spordikool10
FC Tallinn7
Zealot Sporting1
Johvi Phoenix-
Kose II-
TBD-
Kalju-
Viimsi JK7
TalTech JK1
Tamper4
Rumori Calcio2
Kose0
Kuressaare7
TBD-
Paide Linnameeskond-
Flora U19-
Vastseliina Tannem-
Tammeka Tartu6
Tabasalu0
Elva3
Legion0
Viimsi Lovid0
Tallinna Smsraha7
Tallinna Kalev III9
EstHam United0
Hiiumaa0
Tallinna Kalev3
Tallinna FC Zapoos7
FC Hell Hunt0
Saku Sporting3
Marjamaa Kompanii2
Parnu JK Vaprus13
Tulevik0
Jarva-Jaani1
Keila JK4
Maardu Aliens1
JK Poseidon4
Tallinna Kalev U212
Laanemaa Haapsalu0
Tartu JK Welco3
Tartu Helios0
Arukula Vigri0
Kristiine4
1/16-finals
Flora14
Helm0
Levadia4
Flora Tallinn U210
Tabasalu Ulasabat0
Harju JK Laagri3
Raasiku Joker1
Nomme Utd4
Saue JK Laagri0
Narva4
Rae Spordikool0
FC Tallinn9
Johvi Phoenix1
Kalju6
Viimsi JK4
Tamper1
Kuressaare1
Paide Linnameeskond2
Flora U191
Tammeka Tartu8
Elva3
Tallinna Smsraha2
Tallinna Kalev III1
Tallinna Kalev8
Tallinna FC Zapoos3
Saku Sporting0
Parnu JK Vaprus9
Keila JK0
JK Poseidon1
Tallinna Kalev U210
Tartu JK Welco8
Kristiine0
1/8-finals
Flora3
Levadia1
Harju JK Laagri0
Nomme Utd1
Narva6
FC Tallinn0
Kalju0
Viimsi JK1
Paide Linnameeskond3
Tammeka Tartu0
Elva1
Tallinna Kalev2
Tallinna FC Zapoos2
Parnu JK Vaprus4
JK Poseidon0
Tartu JK Welco6
Quarter-finals
Flora3
Nomme Utd1
Narva4
Viimsi JK3
Paide Linnameeskond6
Tallinna Kalev0
Parnu JK Vaprus2
Tartu JK Welco1
Semi-finals
Flora1
Narva0
Paide Linnameeskond2
Parnu JK Vaprus0
Final
Flora5
Paide Linnameeskond1