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Stadium Background

Tartu JK Welco vs Levadia U21

Estonia Estonia

Esiliiga Holm Jalgpallipark, Tartu
Tartu JK Welco Logo

Tartu JK Welco

4 - 2
FT
Levadia U21 Logo

Levadia U21

Our Tip

Match Events

28' Event
Laasner K.
Assist: Malki U.
34' Event
Malki U.
Assist: Kablik H.
44' Event
Rodionov F.
Assist: Domov P.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Esiliiga game between Tartu JK Welco and Levadia U21 finished 4-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tartu JK Welco.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Tartu JK Welco
30%
Draws
33%
Levadia U21
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Tartu JK Welco

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Tartu JK Welco come out ahead of Levadia U21 on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular Esiliiga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 88%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 88%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Tartu JK Welco Clean Sheet 12%
Levadia U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tartu JK Welco Levadia U21
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 19 13
Draws 5 2
Losses 6 15
Goals Scored 3.07 2
Goals Conceded 1.27 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 3.25 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 10, 2026 Esiliiga
Levadia U21 vs Tartu JK Welco
0:0
Aug 20, 2026 Esiliiga
Tartu JK Welco vs Levadia U21
4:2
Jun 18, 2026 Esiliiga
Levadia U21 vs Tartu JK Welco
1:3
Apr 17, 2026 Esiliiga
Tartu JK Welco vs Levadia U21
3:2
Sep 27, 2025 Esiliiga
Levadia U21 vs Tartu JK Welco
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tartu JK Welco Compare

Top Goalscorer Laasner K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Malki U.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.5
Avg xA / game 1.63

Levadia U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Rodionov F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kompus A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tartu JK Welco 30 / 100
Levadia U21 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tartu JK Welco Levadia U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tartu JK Welco scored in 87% of their last 30 games.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Levadia U21's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

Tartu JK Welco has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Tartu JK Welco VS Levadia U21
4.13 Goals Scored 2
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.38
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Tartu JK Welco

(Home)
17 Sept
Viimsi JK
0 : 2
Tartu JK Welco
14 Sept
Tartu JK Welco
3 : 0
Kalju U21
10 Sept
Levadia U21
0 : 0
Tartu JK Welco
05 Sept
Tallinna Kalev
1 : 1
Tartu JK Welco
29 Aug
Tartu JK Welco
1 : 3
Viimsi JK
Page 1 of 6

Levadia U21

(Away)
19 Sept
Levadia U21
:
Maardu Linnameeskond
13 Sept
FC Tallinn
1 : 5
Levadia U21
10 Sept
Levadia U21
0 : 0
Tartu JK Welco
04 Sept
Levadia U21
6 : 2
Flora Tallinn U21
29 Aug
Maardu Linnameeskond
4 : 2
Levadia U21
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tartu JK Welco 30 19 5 6 81:39 62
2 Viimsi JK 30 15 5 10 56:31 50
3 Flora Tallinn U21 30 14 6 10 72:53 48
4 Elva 30 14 6 10 47:44 48
5 Maardu Linnameeskond 27 12 5 10 45:55 41
6 Levadia U21 29 13 2 14 60:55 41
7 Tallinna Kalev 29 10 7 12 52:55 37
8 Nomme Utd U21 29 9 6 14 47:60 33
9 FC Tallinn 29 7 8 14 35:63 29
10 Kalju U21 29 6 4 19 36:76 22
Promotion - Meistriliiga 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga B 2027 (Main)